Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - 8/4/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Marlins (51-55) at Atlanta Braves (49-58)
MLB Baseball: Friday, August 4, 2017 at 7:35 pm (SunTrust Park)
Adam Conley (4-3) (5.11) vs. R Dickey (6-7) (4.01)
The Line: Atlanta Braves +102 / Miami Marlins -112 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Florida, FS-South
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves face off in game one of a three game division set from SunTrust Park on Friday.
The Miami Marlins will look to build on a pair of back-to-back wins to take the series against division-leading Washington, including a 7-0 win in the series finale on Wednesday. Christian Yelich led the charge, going 2 for 3 with a home run, a double and three RBIs. Derek Dietrich blasted a homer of his own, going 1 for 4 with two RBIs while Dee Gordon went 3 for 4 with a triple and an RBI along with Giancarlo Stanton who went 1 for 5 with a double and an RBI of his own in the win. Tyler Moore and Miguel Rojas added base hits of their own in the winning effort for the Fish. Vance Worley got the win to improve to 1-2 this season after tossing seven innings of two-hit, shutout baseball, striking out three in the process. Adam Conley will start the series opener and is 4-3 with a 5.11 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. In his career, Conley is 3-0 with a 2.73 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Atlanta.
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The Atlanta Braves will look to turn things around after dropping 13 of their last 17 games, including a 7-4 loss in their series finale against the Dodgers on Thursday. Tyler Flowers opened the scoring with an RBI double, while Ozzie Albies went 1 for 3 with a consolation three run home run in the bottom of the 9th, the first of his major league career. Sean Rodriguez and Nick Markakis each went 2 for 4 with a double, while Johan Camargo, Brandon Phillips and Ender Inciarte added base hits of their own in the loss. Sean Newcomb took yet another loss, falling to 1-6 this season after giving up three runs on four hits while walking and striking out seven apiece over just 4.2 innings of work. R.A. Dickey will start game one and is 6-7 with a 4.08 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his career, Dickey is 10-3 with a 2.94 ERA and 74 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami is 4-1 in Conley’s last 5 division starts and 6-1 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter while the over is 9-2-1 in Conley’s last 12 starts overall. Atlanta is 1-4 in Dickey’s last 5 starts and 0-5 in their last 5 division matchups while the under is 18-7-2 in their last 27 home games. Miami is 2-5 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
Although the plus money at home with Atlanta is tempting, the fact is that Miami is coming into this one in way better form. Granted, Dickey has had more success against the Fish than Conley has had against the Braves, but Dickey had given up back-to-back four run starts before his last outing, while Conley has given up just four runs over his three starts since coming off of the DL, covering a total of 20.2 innings. Now a few of Atlanta’s losses lately have come at the hands of the Dodgers, which is nothing to sneeze at, but Miami just took down the division leader, and should be able to draw first blood from the Braves here.