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Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners - 8/4/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (55-55) at Kansas City Royals (56-51)

MLB Baseball: Friday, August 4, 2017 at 8:15 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

J Paxton (11-3) (2.68) vs. J Hammel (5-8) (4.75)

The Line: Kansas City Royals +133 / Seattle Mariners -143 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSKC, RTNW

The Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium.

The Seattle Mariners look for a victory here after splitting their last eight games. The Mariners have allowed 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. The Seattle Mariners have lost eight of their last 12 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Robinson Cano leads the Mariners with 108 hits and 75 RBI while Jean Segura and Nelson Cruz have combined for 209 hits and 112 RBI. James Paxton gets the ball, and he is 11-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. Paxton is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Royals. 

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners - 8/4/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals also look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Royals scored six runs in Thursday’s victory and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Kansas City Royals have won 11 of their last 12 games when scoring more than three runs. Eric Hosmer leads the Royals with 131 hits and 56 RBI while Lorenzo Cain and Mike Moustakas have combined for 211 hits and 104 RBI. Jason Hammel gets the ball, and he is 5-8 with a 4.75 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Hammel is 3-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his career against the Mariners.

The Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series, 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 road starts and 6-0 in Paxtons last 6 starts. The Royals are 15-6 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series, 4-9 in Hammels last 13 home starts and 4-1 in Hammels last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Hammel has allowed three or less earned runs in each of his last five starts while Paxton hasn't allowed a single run in his last 13 innings. The Seattle Mariners also haven't lost a game with Paxton on the mound since June 27, and he has a solid .229 batting average on the road. While I see value in taking the Royals and the plus money at home, it's hard to bet against Paxton with his last few outings. I'll eat the reasonable price with the road team. 

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