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Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 8/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (59-54) at Minnesota Twins (53-56)

MLB Baseball: Monday, August 7, 2017 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)

Brent Suter (2-2) (3.04) vs. E Santana (12-7) (3.28)

The Line: Minnesota Twins -128 / Milwaukee Brewers +118 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds


The Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins meet Monday in MLB action at Target Field.

The Milwaukee Brewers could use a win here after splitting their last 12 games. The Brewers have allowed two runs in their last three games and two or less runs in seven of their last nine games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won six of their last eight games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Travis Shaw leads the Brewers with 109 hits and 74 RBI while Orlando Arcia and Domingo Santana have combined for 208 hits and 97 RBI. Brent Suter gets the ball, and he is 2-2 with a 3.04 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. This will be Suter’s first career game against the Twins.  

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Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 8/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Minnesota Twins could also use a win after losing 10 of their last 15 games. The Twins have allowed 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Minnesota Twins have lost eight of their last 10 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Brian Dozier leads the Twins with 103 hits and 56 RBI while Miguel Sano and Eddie Rosario have combined for 197 hits and 108 RBI. Ervin Santana gets the ball, and he is 12-7 with a 3.28 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Santana is 0-2 with a 7.41 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.

The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series, 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League Central and 1-5 in Suters last 6 road starts. The Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 4-10 in their last 14 vs. National League Central and 1-6 in Santanas last 7 home starts. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota and 18-7-4 in the last 29 meetings.

Suter has been sharp nearly all season long despite his last start and has an ERA well under three on the road. Santana has also been good this season but has had a few hiccups recently and has an ERA over four at home compared to a 2.52 ERA on the road. The value suggests to play the Brewers with the plus money here, but the Twins do hit well at home and have their ace on the mound in a game they need to win to stop the bleeding. I'll side with the Twins and the cheap price. 

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