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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 8/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (52-57) at Washington Nationals (65-44)

MLB Baseball: Monday, August 7, 2017 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Chris O'Grady (2-1) (5.40) vs. M Scherzer (12-5) (2.21)

The Line: Washington Nationals / Miami Marlins --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Florida, MASN

The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals hook up for game one of a four game division set on Monday.

The Miami Marlins will look to build on a 4-1 win on Sunday to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Braves. Marcell Ozuna and J.T. Realmuto did all of their damage on the board via the long ball in the first inning, with Ozuna hitting a three-run blast while Realmuto added a solo shot, going 2 for 4 at the dish. Derek Dietrich added a double while Giancarlo Stanton and Mike Aviles added base hits of their own in the win. Jose Urena got the win to improve to 10-5 this season, giving up just the one run on three hits while striking out three over six innings of work. Brad Ziegler threw a scoreless 9th frame for his 2nd save of the year. Chris O’Grady will start the series opener and is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. O’Grady is 0-0 with a 18.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts against Washington following his lone career start against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 8/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will look to build on a series victory over the Cubs, including a 9-4 win over Chicago in the series finale on Sunday. Matt Wieters stole the show, hitting five RBIs despite going 1 for 3 at the dish, putting up a sac fly RBI with his lone hit being an 8th inning grand slam. Brian Goodwin also went yard, hitting a solo shot with a sac fly RBI of his own as well, going 1 for 4 with two RBIs. Anthony Rendon went 1 for 3 with a double and two RBIs, while Wilmer Difo added a triple in addition to Ryan Zimmerman and Daniel Murphy’s respective doubles. Bryce Harper and Adrian Sanchez added base knocks of their own in the win. Erick Fedde gave up all four runs on eight hits while walking four and striking out seven over 5.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Brandon Kintzler got the win to notch his first win as a National since being traded from Minnesota. Max Scherzer will start game one and is 12-5 with a 2.21 ERA and 201 strikeouts this season. In his career, Scherzer is 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 83 strikeouts against Miami.

Miami is 2-5 in their last 7 division matchups and 4-1 in O’Grady’s last 5 starts while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Washington is 7-3 in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 2-7 in their last 9 games against a pitcher with a WHIP over 1.30 while the over is 13-6 in their last 19 division matchups. Miami is just 15-36 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams in Washington.

After Scherzer left his last start after just one inning with neck stiffness, I wasn’t sure how comfortable I would be backing the Nats here in case Scherzer re-aggravates the injury. However I’m backing Washington based on the fact that got to O’Grady early and often in the last meeting, despite losing the game and I think the Nats have a reversal of fortune this time around, getting the series opening win.

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