Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres - 8/11/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego Padres (50-64) at Los Angeles Dodgers (80-33)
MLB Baseball: Friday, August 11, 2017 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)
C Richard (5-12) (5.17) vs. R Hill (8-4) (3.47)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -325 / San Diego Padres +288 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: SNLA, FSSD
On Friday evening from Dodger Stadium, the San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers will be kicking off their weekend intrastate MLB series.
The Padres are fresh off a set against the Reds. San Diego won on Tuesday but lost Monday and Wednesday. In the Thursday finale, the Padres lost 10-3.
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San Diego is rolling with LHP Clayton Richard in the start on Friday. In his 139.1 innings and 5-12 record this year, Richard has a 5.17 ERA with 100 Ks and 40 BBs.
San Diego has a few key hitters at their disposal. Coming into Thursday, Wil Myers led the way on 97 hits, 56 runs, 22 homers and 55 RBI, while Hunter Renfroe had 89 hits, 45 runs, 20 homers and 45 RBI. Myers popped a homer on Thursday; Renfroe went 0-for-4.
Over on the Dodgers’ side, they’re coming off a big series versus the Diamondbacks. LA and Arizona split the first two games, then on Thursday the Dodgers scored three times in the first and fifth innings on the way to an 8-6 win.
For the Thursday game, the Dodgers will be bringing out lefty Rich Hill. In his 83.0 innings and 8-4 record this year, Hill has a 3.47 ERA with 98 Ks and 34 BBs.
Los Angeles has a few notable bats as well. Corey Seager entered Thursday with 119 hits, 70 runs, 19 homers and 55 RBI, while Justin Turner had 106 hits, 52 runs, 15 homers and 48 RBI. Turner and Seager combined for four hits, two RBI and three runs on Thursday.
The Padres are 6-2 in Richard’s last eight Friday starts, and 2-5 in Richard’s last seven starts with four days’ rest. San Diego is also 1-4 in Richard’s last five starts in game one of a series, and 1-6 in Richard’s last seven road starts.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 18-4 in their last 22 Friday games and 24-3 in their last 27 games versus a left-handed starter. LA is also 20-6 in their last 26 during game one of a series, and the over is 4-1 in the Dodgers’ last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days.
Richard had a bad run where he gave up 19 earned over three starts, but calmed down in Pittsburgh with zero earned on five hits in 6.0 innings. The last time Richard faced the Dodgers (June 30), he went just 4.1 innings and gave up seven earned on nine hits. I don’t see too many reasons why the result wouldn’t be the same here, so I’m sticking with the Dodgers for the win in this one despite the huge money line.