Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 8/15/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals (61-57) at Boston Red Sox (67-50)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 15, 2017 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
M Leake (7-10) (3.48) vs. R Porcello (6-14) (4.63)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -145 / St. Louis Cardinals +135 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: NESN, FSMW
Out at Fenway Park on Tuesday, the St. Louis Cardinals and the Boston Red Sox will be kicking off their two-game MLB set.
The Cardinals are coming off a set against the Braves this past weekend. St. Louis won the first two games, but then lost the finale 6-3 on Sunday.
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For the Tuesday opener, the Cardinals will be bringing out RHP Mike Leake in the start. Over his 139.2 innings and 7-10 record this year, Leake has a 3.48 ERA with 95 Ks and 33 BBs.
St. Louis has a few notable hitters this season. Yadier Molina leads the team on 104 hits, 47 runs, 14 homers and 54 RBI, while Matt Carpenter has 97 hits, 67 runs, 15 homers and 56 RBI.
Over on the Red Sox side, they just finished a one-off game against the Indians. In that one, Boston allowed there runs in the second inning on the way to a 7-3 defeat.
Boston will be bringing out RHP Rick Porcello in the start on Tuesday. Over his 151.2 innings and 6-14 record this year, Porcello has a 4.63 ERA with 139 Ks and 30 BBs.
The Red Sox also have some key bats this year. Mookie Betts came out of the weekend with 125 hits, 78 runs, 18 homers and 72 RBI, while Xander Bogaerts had 114 hits, 59 runs and 43 RBI. In Monday’s game, Bogaerts managed a hit but Betts came up empty.
The Cardinals are 8-1 in their last nine overall, and 16-35 in their last 51 games following an off day. St. Louis is also 2-5 in Leake’s last seven starts and 1-5 in Leake’s last six road starts.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 Tuesday games and 5-0 in Porcello’s last five Tuesday starts. Boston is also 4-1 in Porcello’s last five starts in game one of a series and 20-9 in Porcello’s last 29 home starts.
Leake has been okay over his last three starts, but not dominant. In that span, he’s 0-2 with 10 earned runs over 16.0 innings. As for Porcello, he had a couple of shaky starts (nine earned in 12.1 innings), but bounced back with two earned on four hits in 6.0 innings in his last outing. Even though the Cardinals have been playing pretty well lately, they’re not quite on the Red Sox’ level. I can’t find a lot of reasons to pick against Boston here.