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Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 8/31/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (61-72) at Baltimore Orioles (68-65)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, August 31, 2017 at 7:05 pm (Camden Yards)

M Estrada (6-8) (5.04) vs. J Hellickson (8-7) (4.88)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles -130 / Toronto Blue Jays +120 --- Over/Under: 10 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles fight for their playoff lives when they kick off a four game set from Camden Yards on Thursday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will look to snap a four game losing streak after being swept by the Red Sox, including a 7-1 loss in the series finale on Wednesday. Raffy Lopez belted out a solo home run for the lone Toronto run on the board in the loss. Steve Pearce added a double while Kendrys Morales, Kevin Pillar, Ryan Goins and Rob Refsnyder
added base hits of their own in the loss. J.A. Happ gave up one run on four hits while walking four and striking out two over six innings of work. Tom Koehler gave up a pair of runs in relief, taking the loss to fall to 0-2 as a Blue Jay. Marco Estrada will start the opener and is 6-8 with a 5.04 ERA and 152 strikeouts this season. In his career, Estrada is 5-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 70 strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to build on their solid seven game winning streak after completing the sweep of the Mariners, taking the finale by a final score of 8-7 in the series finale on Wednesday. Welington Castillo led the way, going a perfect 4 for 4 at the dish with a home run, a double and three RBIs. Jonathan Schoop went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs, while Craig Gentry and Trey Mancini each belted out a solo home run. Manny Machado added an RBI of his own despite going 0 for 3 at the dish. Tim Beckham, Chris Davis and Mark Trumbo each contributed base hits in the win for the O’s. Ubaldo Jimenez gave up six runs on six hits while striking out three over just 2.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Brad Brach received his 6th blown save of the year, but got the win to improve to 4-4 this season. Zach Britton shut things down in the 9th for his 13th save of the year. Jeremy Hellickson will start game one and is 8-7 with a 4.88 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hellickson is 5-5 with a 3.61 ERA and 71 strikeouts against Toronto.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 8/31/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Toronto is 1-4 in Estrada’s last 5 starts and 1-4 in their last 5 division matchups while the over is 5-1 in Estrada’s last 6 division starts. Baltimore is 7-0 in their last 7 games overall and 5-2 in their last 7 division matchups while the over is 14-5 in their last 19 home games against a team with a losing record. Toronto is 5-1 in Estrada’s last 6 starts against Baltimore.

As a Jays fan, I hope I’m wrong here, but being swept by Boston almost all but does it for Toronto’s chances of a wild card spot, eight games out heading into this one. Baltimore’s caught fire over the last week and are on the doorstep of the wild card slots and can taste it, being just one game out from the 2nd wild card slot. Hellickson hasn’t been a world-beater by any means, but I think Baltimore has enough to get the job done as I think the O’s keep rolling with a win here.

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