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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 9/4/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (63-74) at Boston Red Sox (77-60)

MLB Baseball: Monday, September 4, 2017 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

J Happ (6-10) (3.96) vs. R Porcello (9-15) (4.45)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -155 / Toronto Blue Jays +145 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox face off in game one of a three game AL East division set from Fenway Park on Monday.

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to rebound after settling for a series split with Baltimore, dropping the finale by a final score of 5-4 on Sunday. Josh Donaldson went 2 for 4 with a home run and three RBIs, while Michael Saunders added a pinch-hit RBI to round out the scoring for Toronto. Ryan Goins added a pair of doubles while Teoscar Hernandez added a base hit of his own in the loss. Brett Anderson gave up three runs on seven hits while striking out three over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Roberto Osuna gave up the game-tying run to notch his 9th blown save of the year, while Danny Barnes was walked off, taking the loss to fall to 2-6 this season. J.A. Happ will start game one and is 6-10 with a 3.96 ERA and 110 strikeouts this season. In his career, Happ is 5-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 54 strikeouts against Boston.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 9/4/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Boston Red Sox will also be looking to bounce back after dropping three of four against the Yankees, including a 9-2 loss to New York on Sunday Night Baseball. Jackie Bradley Jr. went 1 for 4, racking up the lone RBI in the loss for the BoSox while Mitch Moreland went 1 for 3 with a double. Sam Travis, Rafael Devers and Sandy Leon each chipped in a base hit in the win for the Red Sox in the losing effort. Chris Sale took the loss to fall to 15-7 this season after giving up three runs on seven hits while walking a pair and striking out six over 4.1 innings of work. Rick Porcello will start the opener and is 9-15 with a 4.45 ERA and 160 strikeouts this season. In his career, Porcello is 8-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 77 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto is 3-8 in their last 11 road games and 2-5 in Happ’s last 7 division starts while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 division matchups. Boston is 3-10 in Porcello’s last 13 division starts and 1-4 in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter. Boston is 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 home starts against Toronto.

Taking a shot here with Toronto and the plus money was tempting, considering how inconsistent Porcello has been for much of the season. But the fact of the matter is that Porcello stifled the Blue Jays in his last start, holding Toronto to just one run and I think we may see more of the same here. The Red Sox need wins to fend off the Yankees in the division race, while the Blue Jays are pretty much playing spoiler at this point. Gotta take Boston here to draw first blood on Monday. 

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