Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 9/4/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (71-65) at Cincinnati Reds (58-78)
MLB Baseball: Monday, September 4, 2017 at 1:08 pm (Great American Ball Park)
C Anderson (8-3) (2.96) vs. H Bailey (4-7) (7.51)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +100 / Milwaukee Brewers -120 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN, FS-Ohio
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to keep their playoff hopes going when they take on the last place Cincinnati Reds on Monday in the opener of a three game division set.
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to build after taking three of four from the Nationals, after a 7-2 win in the series finale gave the Brew Crew their sixth win in their last nine games. Domingo Santana led the charge, going 2 for 2 with a pair of homers, three RBIs and a pair of walks. Ryan Braun went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI, while Travis Shaw and Manny Pina each chipped in a run despite neither having a base hit in the win. Neil Walker went 2 for 4 with a pair of doubles while Jesus Aguilar added a pinch-hit as Milwaukee mustered up just seven hits as a team in the win. Brent Suter went three shutout innings, giving up just two hits, not factoring in the decision. Jeremy Jeffress got the win to improve to 2-0 this season. Chase Anderson will start game one and is 8-3 with a 2.96 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. In his career, Anderson is 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 25 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
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The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back after dropping the last two games in their series against the Pirates, including a 3-1 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Scooter Gennett crossed home plate as the lone scoring run in the loss for the Reds, an unearned run thanks to a fielding error from Max Moroff. Joey Votto went 2 for 4 with a double while Scott Schebler and starting pitcher Sal Romano added a two-bagger each. Billy Hamilton, Jose Peraza, Adam Duvall, Eugenio Suarez and Phillip Ervin all added base hits in the losing effort for Cincy. Romano took the loss on the mound, giving up just two runs, one earned, on four hits while walking four and striking out a pair over 5.2 innings of work. Homer Bailey will start game one and is 4-7 with a 7.51 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bailey is 6-9 with a 4.89 ERA and 117 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 5-1 in their last 6 division matchups and 2-5 in Anderson’s last 7 road starts while the under is 37-13-3 in their last 53 games overall. Cincinnati is 0-7 in Bailey’s last 7 home starts and 1-4 in their last 5 division matchups while the over is 10-4 in their last 14 home games. Cincinnati is 1-4 in Bailey’s last 5 home starts against Milwaukee.
I’m not sure why the line is as low as it is, but I’m not complaining. The Brewers solid performance have them a half game behind the Rockies for the second wild-card spot at the time that I’m writing this, and with the way they’re playing, I can see the Brewers leapfrogging Colorado by mid-week. Bailey has been solid in his last couple of outings but if there’s one thing I’ve learned about Bailey this season, is that he can implode at any time. The Brewers bats are getting hot at the right time, and Anderson has been strong on the mound this season, so I’ll take Milwaukee for the cheap price.