Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 9/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (72-66) at Cincinnati Reds (59-79)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, September 6, 2017 at 12:35 pm (Great American Ball Park)
M Garza (6-8) (4.77) vs. Luis Castillo (2-7) (3.32)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -165 / Milwaukee Brewers +155 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
Out at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds will be finishing up their MLB series.
In the Monday opener, Cincinnati eked out a 5-4 win. On Tuesday, the Reds posted a 9-3 win, scoring five times in the seventh inning to blow the game open.
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For the Wednesday game, the Brewers will be bringing out RHP Matt Garza. In his 109.1 innings and 6-8 record this year, Garza has a 4.77 ERA with 75 Ks and 43 BBs.
The Brewers have some great hitters this year. Domingo Santana came into Tuesday with 125 hits, 75 runs, 24 homers and 69 RBI while Travis Shaw had 125 hits, 70 runs, 27 homers and 84 RBI. Santana and Shaw combined for two hits, two RBI, two runs and a homer on Tuesday.
Over on the Reds’ side, they’re going with RHP Luis Castillo on Wednesday. In his 81.1 innings and 2-7 record this year, Castillo has a 3.32 ERA with 88 Ks and 32 BBs.
Cincinnati has some notable bats as well. Joey Votto had 149 hits, 93 runs, 34 homers and 93 RBI coming into Tuesday, while Brandon Hamilton had 137 hits, 82 runs and 36 RBI in that time. Hamilton had an RBI on Tuesday; Votto had two hits and a run.
The Brewers are 4-9 in their last 13 during game three of a series and 2-5 in their last seven Wednesday games. Milwaukee is also 5-2 in Garza’s last seven Wednesday starts and 7-19 in Garza’s last 26 road starts.
Meanwhile, the Reds are 18-37 in their last 55 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 6-16 in their last 22 during game three of a series. Cincinnati is 1-4 in Castillo’s last five home starts and the under is 4-1 in the Reds’ last five during game three of a series.
Garza gave up seven earned in Colorado, and since has surrendered four earned over 8.1 innings in two starts. As for Castillo, he’s been solid lately, and hasn’t given up more than three earned in any start since July 20. The problem is, he hasn’t recorded a win since July 30. I’m going to go out on a proverbial limb here and take the Reds, hoping their bats will help Castillo get a rare victory.