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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 9/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies (53-85) at Washington Nationals (84-54)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 7, 2017 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Aaron Nola (10-10) (3.72) vs. T Roark (11-9) (4.48)

The Line: Washington Nationals -157 / Philadelphia Phillies +147 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


Out in DC at Nationals Park on Thursday, the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals will be kicking off their weekend MLB series. 

The Phillies are coming off a series against the Mets. The two teams split the first pair of games, then on Wednesday Philadelphia lost a rain-shortened game 6-3. 

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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 9/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For the Thursday game, the Phillies will be bringing out RHP Aaron Nola. In his 142.2 innings and 10-10 record this year, Nola has a 3.72 ERA with 148 Ks and 41 BBs. 

The Phillies have a few key bats this year. Freddy Galvis entered Wednesday with 136 hits, 60 runs, 11 homers and 57 RBI while Odubel Herrera had 127 hits, 52 runs, 12 homers and 48 RBI. Gals had one hit on Wednesday; Herrera hasn’t made it back to the lineup yet. 

Over on the Nationals’ side, they’re fresh off a set versus the Marlins. Washington won the first two games 7-2 and 2-1, then on Wednesday the Nats made it a sweep with an 8-1 victory. 

For the Thursday game, Washington will be bringing out RHP Tanner Roark. In his 156.2 innings and 11-9 record this year, Roark has a 4.48 ERA with 141 Ks and 56 BBs. 

Washington has some great bats as well. Daniel Murphy brought 152 hits, 85 runs, 22 homers and 88 RBI into Wednesday while Ryan Zimmerman had 127 hits, 79 runs, 30 homers and 91 RBI. Zimmerman ripped a solo homer with three hits, three runs and two RBI on Wednesday; Murphy got the day off. 

The Phillies are 11-23 in the last 34 during game one of a series and 1-5 in their last six Thursday games. Philadelphia is also 4-12 in Nola’s last 16 starts with four days’ rest and 1-4 in Nola’s last five road starts. 

Meanwhile, the Nationals are 9-2 in the last 11 during game one of a series and 4-1 in the last five Thursday games. The under is 18-6-3 in the Nats’ last 27 during game one of a series and 4-1 in the Nats’ last five home games following a road trip of a week or more. 

After a solid showing against the Braves (one earned on five hits in 7.0 innings) Nola took a step backward again with six earned on 10 hits in 5.0 innings in Miami. In three of his last four starts, Nola has given up a combined 18 earned over 16.1 innings, so it seems he’s hit a rough patch of sorts. I don’t think things will get much better here so I’m going with the Nationals for the win.

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