Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres - 9/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego Padres (63-78) at Arizona Diamondbacks (82-58)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 9, 2017 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)
J Chacin (12-10) (4.02) vs. Zack Godley (7-7) (3.21)
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -214 / San Diego Padres +198 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSAZ, FSSD
On Saturday evening down at Chase Field, the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be picking up their MLB series.
In the Friday opener, the Padres scored six runs in the fourth inning on the way to a 10-6 victory.
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For Saturday’s game, the Padres will be going with RHP Jhoulys Chacin. Over his 159.0 innings and 12-10 record this year, Chacin has a 3.96 ERA with 132 BBs and 63 Ks.
San Diego has a few hitters of note. Wil Myers came into this series with 120 hits, 69 runs, 25 homers and 66 RBI while Manuel Margot had 111 hits, 48 runs, 13 homers and 34 RBI. Myers had two hits and a run on Friday; Margot had three hits and four RBI with a run.
Arizona will be relying on RHP Zack Godley in the Saturday game. In his 129.0 innings and 7-7 record this year, Godley has a 3.21 ERA with 136 Ks and 47 BBs.
The Diamondbacks have a solid offense this season. Paul Goldschmidt brought 152 hits, 102 runs, 33 homers and 109 RBI into this set while David Peralta had 136 hits, 72 runs, 13 homers and 45 RBI. Goldschmidt was out of the lineup Friday; Peralta came up empty.
The Padres are 5-2 in their last seven Saturday games and 3-8 in Chacin’s last 11 starts versus a team with a winning record. San Diego is also 1-4 in Chacin’s last five road starts versus a team with a winning record and 1-5 in Chacin’s last six starts.
Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five during game two of a series and 4-0 in Godley’s last four starts with five days’ rest. Arizona is also 6-2 in Godley’s last eight home starts and 8-3 in Godley’s last 11 starts in game two of a series.
Chacin has been very good over his last five starts, allowing more than two earned just once in that span—he’s only 1-2 in that time, however. As for Godley, he gave up four earned against the Dodgers in 6.0 innings, then surrendered just one earned on three hits in 6.0 innings in Colorado. The main difference here is that Godley has been getting offensive help (over the last couple of starts, anyway) and Chacin hasn’t. I think I have to stick with the Diamondbacks here.