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New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds - 9/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (61-80) at New York Mets (62-79)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 9, 2017 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

H Bailey (4-7) (7.24) vs. R Montero (4-9) (5.21)

The Line: New York Mets +125 / Cincinnati Reds -135 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets meet in game three of their four game set from Citi Field on Saturday.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to get on the board after dropping the first two games of the series, including a 5-1 loss in game two on Friday. Zack Cozart hit a pinch-hit consolation sac fly RBI in the 9th for the lone Cincy run in the loss. Joey Votto, Scooter Gennett and Tucker Barnhart each logged a pair of hits while Phillip Ervin, Jose Peraza and Eugenio Suarez all contributed base hits in the losing effort with none of the hits going for extra bases. Amir Garrett took the loss, falling to 3-7 this season after allowing four runs on five hits while walking a pair and striking out five over five innings of work. Homer Bailey will start game three and is 4-7 with a 7.24 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bailey is 1-3 with a 6.28 ERA and 19 strikeouts against the Mets.

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New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds - 9/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Mets will look to win the series and go for the sweep on Sunday after winning game two on Friday. Jose Reyes went 2 for 4 with a pair of homers and three RBIs while Travis Taijeron hit a solo shot for his first career homer in the victory. Taijeron also added a double while Travis D’Arnaud added a two-bagger of his own. Brandon Nimmo and starting pitcher Seth Lugo also contributed base hits in the winning effort for the Mets. Lugo got the win to improve to 6-4 this season by throwing six innings of four hit shutout baseball, striking out four in the win. Rafael Montero will start game three and is 4-9 with a 5.21 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montero is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati is 0-4 in Bailey’s last 4 starts against the NL East and 18-39 in their last 57 road games while the over is 4-0 in Bailey’s last 4 road starts. New York is 6-13 in their last 19home games and 8-17 in their last 25 games overall while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is 5-21 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams and 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

You guys know my stance on Homer Bailey, he’s an auto-fade almost every time he take the bump as he can be wildly inconsistent and could get crooked numbers put up on him at any time. Montero has looked good winning his last two starts and the Mets have thoroughly outplayed Cincinnati in the first two games of the set, so I’ll take the Mets and the plus money at home.

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