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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - 9/10/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins (74-68) at Kansas City Royals (70-71)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 2:15 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

B Colon (6-11) (6.06) vs. J Vargas (14-10) (4.23)

The Line: Kansas City Royals -125 / Minnesota Twins +105 --- Over/Under: 10 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Kansas City, FS-North

The Minnesota Twins and the Kansas City Royals face off in the finale of their four game set from Kauffman Stadium on Sunday.

The Minnesota Twins will look to win the series after dropping game three by a final score of 5-2 on Saturday. All of Minnesota’s damage on the scoreboard was done via the long ball, with Byron Buxton and Eduardo Escobar each belting out a solo home run. Eddie Rosario and Jason Castro each went 2 for 4 while Joe Mauer and Max Kepler each contributed a base hit in the losing effort for the Twins. Jose Berrios gave up a pair of runs on eight hits while walking a pair over seven innings of work. Ryan Pressly took the loss to fall to 2-3 this season. Bartolo Colon will start the finale and is 6-11 with a 6.06 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. In his career, Colon is 15-10 with a 4.78 ERA and 133 strikeouts against Kansas City.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - 9/10/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals will try to keep their playoff hopes alive and salvage a series split with Minnesota. Alex Gordon hit a solo homer, while Alcides Escobar and Salvador Perez each logged a double and an RBI. Melky Cabrera chipped in a run while Eric Homser went 3 for 3 at the dish with a run of his own. Lorenzo Cain went 3 for 4 with a triple and Whit Merrifield added a base hit in the win for the Royals. Jake Junis gave up both runs on eight hits while striking out seven over 6.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Mike Minor got the win to even his record up at 6-6 this season while Brandon Maurer logged his 22nd save of the season. Jason Vargas will start the finale for KC and is 14-10 with a 4.23 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. In his career, Vargas is 7-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 56 strikeouts against Minnesota.

Minnesota is 5-2 in Colon’s last 7 starts and 4-0 in their last 4 games against a left-handed starter while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games. Kansas City is 0-4 in Vargas’ last 4 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 home games while the under is 13-5 in Vargas’ last 18 home starts. Kansas City is 4-0 in Vargas’ last 4 starts against Minnesota.

I think the pick here lies in the pitching matchup. If you gave me this matchup a month ago I would’ve said Kansas City no question. However, Vargas has lost each of his last four starts while the Twins have won five of Colon’s last seven starts. Both of these teams need the win, but in the end, the Twins have been in better form so I’ll side with Minnesota to win the finale.

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