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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles - 9/16/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baltimore Orioles (72-76) at New York Yankees (81-66)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 16, 2017 at 4:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

J Hellickson (8-9) (5.23) vs. Jordan Montgomery (7-7) (4.24)

The Line: New York Yankees -200 / Baltimore Orioles +160 --- Over/Under: 10 See the Latest Odds

TV: MASN2, YES

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet in game three of their four game AL East division set from Yankee Stadium on Saturday.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to bounce back after dropping the first two games of the series, including an 8-2 loss in game two to give the O’s their eighth loss in their last nine games. Welington Castillo’s two run home run accounted for both Baltimore runs in the loss. Pedro Alvarez added a double while Trey Mancini chipped in a base hit of his own as Baltimore put up three hits as a team in the loss. Gabriel Ynoa took the loss, falling to 1-2 this season after giving up three runs, two earned, on five hits while walking a pair and striking out five over 4.1 innings of work. Jeremy Hellickson will start game three and is 8-9 with a 5.23 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hellickson is 4-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 33 strikeouts against the Yankees.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles - 9/16/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will look to win the series and go for the sweep on Sunday after their win on Friday. Didi Gregorius logged half of the Yanks’ RBIs, putting up a pair of sac fly RBIs in addition to a two run homer for his four RBIs in the win. Greg Bird hit a solo home run, while Chase Headley went 3 for 4 with an RBI and Gary Sanchez chipped in a run of his own in the winning effort. Brett Gardner added a double while Matt Holliday went 2 for 4 at the dish for New York. Luis Severino got the win to improve to 13-6 this season, giving up both runs on three hits while striking out seven over eight innings of work. Jordan Montgomery will start game three and is 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montgomery is 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Baltimore.

Baltimore is 4-1 in Hellickson’s last 5 starts against a team with a winning record and 1-8 in their last 9 games overall while the under is 8-2 in their last 10 road games. New York is 1-4 in Montgomery’s last 5 division starts and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 4-0 in Montgomery’s last 4 starts overall. Baltimore is 1-7 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

These two teams are trending in completely different directions, and I think the pick here is quite simple. Baltimore has fallen off a cliff along with their playoff hopes, while the Yankees are gaining steam and are on the verge of clinching a wild-card spot. The Yankees on the run line has to be the pick here to get some value out of the bet, which is where I’ll be putting my money on Saturday.

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