Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets - 9/17/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets (63-84) at Atlanta Braves (67-79)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:35 pm (SunTrust Park)
Robert Gsellman (6-7) (5.93) vs. J Teheran (11-11) (4.62)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -170 / New York Mets +153 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-South, SNY
The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves square off in the rubber match of their three game NL East division set from SunTrust Park on Sunday.
The New York Mets will look the take the set after evening up the series at one win apiece after a 7-3 victory in game two on Saturday. Gavin Cecchini went 3 for 4 with a double and two RBIs, while Dominic Smith added a double and two RBIs of his own. Brandon Nimmo, Asdrubal Cabrera and Juan Lagares each added an RBI to round out the scoring for the Mets in the win, while Nori Aoki went 2 for 5 with a pair of doubles. Travis D’Arnaud also added a base hit of his own in the winning effort for New York. Jacob DeGrom got the win to improve to 15-9 this season after allowing one run on five hits while walking a pair and striking out seven over seven innings of work. Robert Gsellman will start the finale and is 6-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gsellman is 2-2 with a 5.33 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Atlanta.
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The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back and win the series after dropping game two on Saturday. Lane Adams led the Braves with two RBIs in a pinch-hit capacity, while Freddie Freeman added a solo home run to account for the Braves runs in the win. Jace Peterson went 2 for 4 while Ender Inciarte, Johan Camargo and R.A. Dickey each added base hits of their own in the loss. Speaking of Dickey, he fell to 9-10 this season after allowing five runs on eight hits over five innings of work, in the loss. Julio Teheran will start the finale and is 11-11 with a 4.57 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. In his career, Teheran is 8-4 with a 3.56 ERA and 84 strikeouts against the Mets.
New York is 1-7 in Gsellman’s last 8 starts and 2-8 in their last 10 road games while the over is 3-0-1 in Gsellman’s last 4 road starts. Atlanta is 4-0 in Teheran’s last 4 starts and 8-3 in their last 11 division matchups while the under is 7-1-1 in Teheran’s last 9 home starts. New York is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Both of these teams are just playing out the string, so there’s not much else besides bragging rights to play for here. However, I think the Braves have a huge advantage on the mound, and since I don’t have faith in Gsellman to do much of anything, combined with Teheran’s success in his career against the Mets, I’ll lay the juice with the Braves to win the series.