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Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - 9/25/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros (95-59) at Texas Rangers (76-79)

MLB Baseball: Monday, September 25, 2017 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Park)

C McHugh (3-2) (3.44) vs. A Cashner (10-10) (3.44)

The Line: Texas Rangers +120 / Houston Astros -141 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Southwest

We kick off the final Lone Star Series of 2017 as the Houston Astros visit the Texas Rangers to start a three game AL West division set.

The Houston Astros will try to keep their momentum going after winning eight of their last ten games, however the ‘Stros fell to the Los Angeles Angels by a final score of 7-5 on Sunday Night baseball to close out their series over the weekend. Alex Bregman went 1 for 5 with a home run and two RBIs, while Evan Gattis added two RBIs of his own, going 2 for 4 with a double. George Springer added a solo home run of his own to round out the scoring for Houston in the losing effort. Jose Altuve went 2 for 3 while Carlos Correa, Cameron Maybin and Carlos Beltran each added a base knock in the loss. Lance McCullers Jr gave up two runs on four hits while striking out four over 3.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Chris Devenski took the loss, falling to 8-5 this season. Collin McHugh will start the opener and is 3-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, McHugh is 4-1 with 4.71 ERA and 36 strikeouts against Texas.

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - 9/25/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Rangers will try to keep their narrowest of playoff hopes alive after being swept by the Oakland A’s, including an 8-1 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Nomar Mazara belted a solo homer, his 20th of the year, as the lone run for the Rangers in the loss. Delino DeShields and Elvis Andrus each contributed a base hit, as Texas logged just three hits in the loss. Martin Perez took the loss, falling to 12-12 this season after giving up five runs on six hits while walking four and whiffing a pair over 4.2 innings of work. Andrew Cashner will start game one and is 10-10 with a 3.44 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cashner is 3-6 with a 4.02 ERA and 43 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston is 31-6 in McHugh’s last 37 division starts and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Texas is 0-4 in Cashner’s last 4 home starts and 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss while the under is 6-1-1 in Cashner’s last 8 starts against a team with a winning record. Houston is 6-2 in McHugh’s last 8 starts against Texas while Texas is 1-4 in Cashner’s last 5 starts against Houston.

Normally in a situation like this, I’d back Texas because their postseason hopes are hanging in the balance and Houston has already clinched. However, Texas blew it for me on Sunday and that was the final straw. McHugh hasn’t been the most reliable this season, but he has gotten the Ws when they count against Texas which can’t always be said for Cashner against the Astros, so I’ll take Houston to win game one and possibly close the door on Texas’ hopes for October baseball.

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