Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles - 9/26/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Orioles (75-82) at Pittsburgh Pirates (71-85)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 at 7:05 pm (PNC Park)
K Gausman (11-10) (4.61) vs. Trevor Williams (6-9) (4.24)
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +111 / Baltimore Orioles -120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Orioles and the Pittsburgh Pirates start the final week of the season by kicking off a three game interleague set from PNC Park on Tuesday.
The Baltimore Orioles will look to finish strong after dropping 14 of their last 18 games, but the O’s were able to salvage a series split with Tampa Bay, taking the finale by a final score of 9-4 on Sunday. J.J. Hardy and Chance Sisco each belted a home run with two RBIs while Adam Jones went 1 for 2 with a double and two RBIs and Chris Davis added a pair of runs on the board as well. Pedro Alvarez went 2 for 4 with an RBI and Jonathan Schoop added a double, going 3 for 4 at the dish in the win. Manny Machado and Trey Mancini also pitched in base hits of their own in the winning effort for Baltimore. Speaking of pitching, Chris Tillman gave up all four runs on six hits while striking out a pair over four innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Mychal Givens got the win to improve to 8-1 this season after tossing 1.2 innings of perfect relief and whiffing a pair. Kevin Gausman will start the opener and is 11-10 with a 4.61 ERA and 165 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gausman is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 5 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.
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The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to keep positive vibes going down the stretch after winning three of their last four games, including taking back-to-back games to close out their series with St. Louis following a 4-1 victory in the series finale on Sunday. Starling Marte went 2 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs, while Jordan Luplow added a triple and a solo homer of his own. Jose Osuna chipped in an RBI to round out the scoring for the Pirates despite going 0 for 3 at the dish, while Chris Bostick, Andrew McCutchen and Max Moroff all chipped in base knocks of their own in the win. Jameson Taillon got the win to improve to 8-7 this season, giving up just the one run on four hits while whiffing six over five innings of work. Felipe Rivero struck out a pair in a perfect 9th innings for his 19th save of the season. Trevor Williams will start game one and is 6-9 with a 4.18 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. This will be Williams’ first career start against Baltimore, however in his career, Williams owns a 1-1 interleague record with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts covering 3 starts.
Baltimore is 0-6 in their last 6 games against the NL Central and 2-8 in their last 10 road games while the over is 5-0 in Gausman’s last 5 interleague starts. Pittsburgh is 2-5 in Williams’ last 7 starts and 4-13 in their last 17 games overall while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games against the AL East. Baltimore is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams.
The form of both teams doesn’t inspire much confidence as they’ve combined to go 8-27 in their last 35 games. However, I think the pitching matchup strongly favors Baltimore as Gausman has allowed one run or less in four of his last five starts, including posting shutouts in three of them. I like Gausman more than I do Williams who has burned me almost every time I’ve backed him this season, so as tempting as the plus money is with the home dog, I have to lay the juice with Baltimore to draw first blood here.