Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros - 9/28/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Astros (98-60) at Boston Red Sox (91-66)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
B Peacock (12-2) (2.98) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (6-6) (3.91)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -110 / Houston Astros -110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
A pair of division winners kick off their final series of the 2017 season as the Houston Astros visit the Boston Red Sox to start a four game set from Fenway Park.
The Houston Astros will look to build momentum after completing the three game set of the Texas Rangers by a combined score of 37-7, including a 12-2 win in the series finale gave Houston their 11th win in their last 13 games. Carlos Correa led the charge, going 4 for 5 with a pair of homers, a double and four RBIs. George Springer went 2 for 4 with a homer of his own and four RBIs as well, while Alex Bregman, Marwin Gonzalez and Tony Kemp each added RBIs in the winning effort for the ‘Stros. Yuli Gurriel added a double, while Brian McCann and Jose Altuve each added base hits in the winning effort. Justin Verlander gave up both runs on six hits while striking out 11 over six innings of work to improve to 15-8 this season. Brad Peacock will start the opener and is 12-2 with a 2.98 ERA and 159 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peacock is 0-2 with a 12.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Boston.
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The Boston Red Sox will look to build some momentum after avoiding the sweep against the Blue Jays, salvaging a 10-7 win against Toronto in their series finale on Wednesday. Xander Bogaerts led the charge by going 3 for 5 with a homer and four RBIs, while Hanley Ramirez went 2 for 4 with a double and a solo homer and Mitch Moreland added a solo shot in the win. Rajai Davis added a double and an RBI of his own, while Dustin Pedroia and Jackie Bradley Jr. each pitched in an RBI in the win. Christian Vazques and Andrew Benintendi also added respective base hits of their own in the winning effort for the BoSox. Rick Porcello got the win to improve to 11-17 this season after giving up five runs on seven hits while walking a pair and striking out eight over 5.2 innings of work. Eduardo Rodriguez will start the opener and is 6-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 148 strikeouts this season. In his career, Rodriguez is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Houston.
Houston is 11-4 in Peacock’s last 15 starts and 11-2 in their last 13 games overall while the over is 8-2 in their last 10 road games. Boston is 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 home starts and 10-3 in their last 13 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games against the AL West. Houston is 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Boston.
Even though Peacock has had his share of struggles against the Red Sox, he has allowed two runs or less in each of his last six starts and the Astros steamrolled through the Rangers coming into this series. Boston struggled against Toronto, and even though they snuck out a win, I find Peacock a lot easier to trust than Rodriguez with that Astros offense behind him, so I’ll take Houston to draw first blood with a win here.