Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers - 9/29/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Tigers (63-96) at Minnesota Twins (83-76)
MLB Baseball: Friday, September 29, 2017 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)
Matt Boyd (6-10) (5.26) vs. Kyle Gibson (12-10) (5.02)
The Line: Minnesota Twins / Detroit Tigers --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Detroit, FS-North
The Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins face off on Friday in game one of their three game AL Central division set to finish off the 2017 regular season.
The Detroit Tigers will look to salvage a couple of confidence wins down the stretch, and it started with a 4-1 win over the Royals in their series finale on Thursday, avoiding the sweep and snapping a nine game losing skid in the process. Nick Castellanos went 2 for 4 with a double and three RBIs, while JaCoby Jones added an RBI of his own to round out the scoring for the Tigers in the win. Jose Iglesias, James McCann, John Hicks, Andrew Romine and Alex Presley each contributed a base hit in the winning effort for Detroit. Daniel Norris got the win after tossing five innings of two hit shutout baseball, while Shane Greene closed out the 9th for his 8th save of the season. Matt Boyd will start the opener and is 6-10 with a 5.12 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. In his career, Boyd is 5-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 55 strikeouts against Minnesota.
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The Minnesota Twins can finally breathe a sigh of relief, after clinching the 2nd wild card spot in the AL, despite a 5-2 loss to Cleveland in their series finale on Thursday. Mitch Garver accounted for both Twins’ runs in the loss, going 1 for 4 with a triple. Max Kepler went 2 for 4 while Zack Granite, Ehire Adrianza, Jorge Polanco, Robbie Grossman and Jason Castro all contributed base hits in the losing effort. Ervin Santana threw five innings of four hit shutout baseball, not factoring in the decision, while Trevor Hildenberger took the loss to fall to 3-3 this season. Kyle Gibson will start the series opener and is 12-10 with a 5.02 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gibson is 6-7 with a 4.62 ERA and 60 strikeouts against Detroit.
Detroit is 20-39 in their last 59 road games and 13-39 in their last 52 games overall while the over is 6-2 in Boyd’s last 8 road starts. Minnesota is 7-0 in Gibson’s last 7 starts and 12-4 in their last 16 home games while the over is 15-5-2 in Gibson’s last 22 starts against a team with a losing record.
If the Twins hadn’t clinched on Thursday, I’d be all over the Twins here considering Gibson’s fine run of form as of late, going 6-0 in his last seven starts, with Minnesota winning all seven of those games. However, I’m concerned that Minnesota will rest some guys knowing they have a wild card game to prepare for, and all good streaks come to an end at some point. Boyd has allowed one run or less in four of his last five starts, and has owned the Twins in his career. I’m going to avoid this game personally, but if forced to pick, I’d probably take a shot with the Tigers here.