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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros - 9/30/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros (100-60) at Boston Red Sox (92-68)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 1:05 pm (Fenway Park)

L McCullers (7-3) (4.02) vs. D Pomeranz (16-6) (3.38)

The Line: Boston Red Sox / Houston Astros --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox square off in game three of their four game set from Fenway Park on Saturday afternoon.

The Houston Astros will look to add to their current five game winning streak and go for the sweep on Sunday after taking the first two games of the set, including a 3-2 win in game two on Friday, marking the ‘Stros 100th win of the season. Alex Bregman went 3 for 4 with a home run and a double, accounting for all three Houston runs in the win. Carlos Beltran, Yuli Gurriel and Derek Fisher each contributed a base hit in the winning effort for Houston.Charlie Morton got the win to improve to 14-7 this season after giving up both runs on four hits while striking out four over 5.1 innings of work. Ken Giles tossed a scoreless 9th en route to his 34th save of the season. Lance McCullers Jr. will start game three and is 7-3 with a 4.01 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. In his career, McCullers Jr. is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Boston.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros - 9/30/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Boston Red Sox will look to bounce back and take a step towards a series split after dropping games one and two on Thursday and Friday respectively. Rafael Devers went 1 for 4 with a double and an RBI while Dustin Pedroia contributed an RBI of his own despite going 0 for 3 at the dish. Xander Bogaerts, Mitch Moreland and Hanley Ramirez each added a two-bagger while Rajai Davis contributed a base hit of his own as four of Boston’s five base hits were doubles. Doug Fister took the loss, falling to 5-9 this season after allowing all three runs on five hits while striking out five over 5.1 innings of work. Drew Pomeranz will start game three and is 16-6 with a 3.38 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pomeranz is 1-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 30 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston is 1-6 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 starts and 20-7 in their last 27 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Boston is 8-2 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts and 15-7 in their last 22 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Houston is 6-14 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams in Boston.

McCullers may still be on a short leash here, but I can’t go against Houston in their current form. Pomeranz was lit up for five runs in just two innings in his last start, and I just have this weird feeling when I watch him pitch that there’s something wrong, though I can’t put my finger on it. Regardless, I think Houston comes out firing once again, getting the win and going for the sweep on Sunday.

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