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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins AL Wild Card Game - 10/3/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins (84-77) at New York Yankees (91-71)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 3, 2017 at 8:08 pm (Yankee Stadium)

E Santana (16-8) (3.28) vs. Luis Severino (14-6) (2.98)

The Line: New York Yankees -245 / Minnesota Twins +205 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

Over at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, the MLB playoffs will be getting started as the Minnesota Twins visit the New York Yankees in the American League Wild Card Game. 

The Yankees are coming off a set with the Blue Jays this past weekend. New York took the first two games 4-0 and 2-1, then on Sunday New York fell 2-1. 

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins AL Wild Card Game - 10/3/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

For the Wild Card Game, the Yankees will be bringing out RHP Luis Severino. In his 193.1 innings and 14-6 record this year, Severino has a 2.98 ERA with 230 Ks and 51 BBs. 

New York has some capable hitters on their roster. Brett Gardner came out of the week with 157 hits, 96 runs, 21 homers and 63 RBI, while Aaron Judge had 128 runs, 154 hits, 52 homers and 114 RBI. Judge and Gardner sat out Sunday’s game. 

Over on the Twins’ side, they just finished against the Tigers as their final regular-season series. The two teams split the first pair of games, then on Sunday the Twins won 5-1. 

Minnesota will be rolling with their ace Ervin Santana on Tuesday in the Wild Card Game. Over his 211.1 innings and 16-8 record this year, Santana has a 3.28 ERA with 167 Ks. 

The Twins have some key hitters as well. Brian Dozier came out of the week with 164 hits, 105 runs, 34 runs and 93 RBI; Joe Mauer had 159 hits, 69 runs and 70 RBI in that span. On Sunday, Dozier had two hits and a run; Mauer had a hit and an RBI. 

The Twins are 6-1 in their last seven during game one of a series and 5-21 in their last 26 playoff games. Minnesota is also 0-5 in their last five playoff road games and 5-0 in Santana’s last five Tuesday starts. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees are 6-1 in their last seven during game one of a series and 3-8 in their last 11 games following an off day. New York is also 0-5 in their last five playoff games and 1-4 in their last five playoff home games. 

This will be Santana’s ninth career postseason appearance and his third start in the AL Wild Card Game. Over his six September starts, Santana posted a 3.31 ERA, so he’s cooking right now. The Twins offense played well in September as well, and they’re a team we shouldn’t take for granted going into the playoffs. In all realistic terms, New York should win this game. That said, the Yankees offense has a tendency to hibernate every so often and not offer much run support. There’s at least a reasonable chance of that happening with Santana on the mound, and with the Twins riding the wave of a postseason berth I wouldn’t be surprised to see them contend here. Like I said, the Yankees should win the game, but with the line being so thick I think the Twins have more than a fair shot at paying off here. I’ll take Minnesota as a value play.

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