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Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox ALDS Game 1 - 10/5/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox (93-69) at Houston Astros (101-61)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, October 5, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Minute Maid Park)

C Sale (17-8) (2.90) vs. Verlander

The Line: Houston Astros -165 / Boston Red Sox +135 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros meet Thursday in game one of the ALDS at Minute Maid Park. 

The Boston Red Sox ended their regular season losing five of their last seven games. The Red Sox have an offense that has its ups and downs and despite their recent losses, they’ve still put up at least four runs in eight of their last 11 games. Overall, Mookie Betts leads the Red Sox with 166 hits and 102 RBI while Xander Bogaerts and Andrew Benintendi have combined for 311 hits and 152 RBI. However, the Red Sox are in the postseason due to a pitching rotation that has an ERA of 3.70, which is fourth best in all of baseball. The Boston Red Sox are in the playoffs for the third time in five years and have won the World Series in two of their last five trips. Chris Sale gets the ball, and he is 17-8 with a 2.90 ERA and 308 strikeouts this season. Sale is 5-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 65 strikeouts in his career against the Astros.  

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox ALDS Game 1 - 10/5/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros ended the season winning eight of their last 10 games, rebounding completely from a shaky start to the second half of the season. The Astros bulked up their pitching, but they’re the ultimate offensive team, as Houston led MLB with 896 runs and 1,581 hits. The Astros were also second in homers with 238 and first with a .282 batting average, making them downright scary. Overall, Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 204 hits and 81 RBI while Alex Bregman and Yuli Gurriel have combined for 316 hits and 146 RBI. The Houston Astros are in the playoffs for the second time in three years and hope things end better than they did back in 2015. Justin Verlander gets the ball, and he is 15-8 with a 3.36 ERA and 219 strikeouts this season. Verlander is 5-5 with a 2.88 ERA and 93 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 23-9 in their last 32 games following an off day, 7-2 in Sales last 9 road starts and 19-8 in Sales last 27 starts. The Astros are 11-2 in their last 13 home games, 3-7 in their last 10 playoff games and 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts. The over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 overall and the over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 overall.

Sale and plus money are always worth a look simply because you don't see it often. The guy misses bats like nobody else in the game and is sure going to get his fair share of strikeouts against a swing happy Astros clubs that swings big. However, Verlander has an ERA of 1.06 in five starts with the Astros and 43 strikeouts in 34 innings. He looks like Verlander of old and was brought here to help put this team over the top. And while Sale has been great, he has allowed four or more runs in two of his last three starts. I just can't bet against Verlander with the way he's pitched in Houston. Give me the Astros to draw first blood.

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