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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 - 10/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks (93-69) at Los Angeles Dodgers (104-58)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 6, 2017 at 10:31 pm (Dodger Stadium)

T Walker (9-9) (3.49) vs. C Kershaw (18-4) (2.31)

The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -250 / Arizona Diamondbacks +210 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


On Friday out at Dodger Stadium, the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Los Angeles Dodgers will be kicking off Game 1 of their National League Division Series in MLB action. 

In Wednesday’s NL Wild Card Game, we had a fittingly wild outcome. The Diamondbacks jumped out front to a 6-0 lead before the Rockies scored four in the fourth to get back within striking distance. The teams traded punches for several innings, ending with three more Diamondbacks runs in the eighth. In the end, Arizona took it 11-8. 

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 - 10/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Diamondbacks will be going with RHP Taijuan Walker in ALDS Game 1. Over his 157.1 innings and 9-9 record this year, Walker has a 3.49 ERA with 146 Ks. 

Arizona has some big bats that have helped carry the team along this year. David Peralta put up three hits and two runs in the Wild Card Game, while Paul Goldschmidt provided a key three-run homer in the first inning that set the offensive tone for the game. 

Over on the Dodgers’ side, they’re coming off a highly successful 104-58 season which saw them win the National League West by 11 games over the second-place Diamondbacks. LA’s most recent series was against the Rockies, and though the Dodgers lost 9-1 on Friday they won both weekend games 5-3 and 6-3. 

Taking the mound for the Dodgers in the Friday Game 1 will be LHP Clayton Kershaw. In his 175.0 innings and 18-4 record this year, Kershaw posted a 2.31 ERA with 202 Ks. 

The Dodgers have some great hitters at their disposal as well. Corey Seager finished the year with 159 hits, 85 runs, 22 homers and 77 RBI, while Chris Taylor logged 148 hits, 85 runs, 21 homers and 72 RBI. 

Arizona is 19-7 in their last 26 games following an win and 21-8 in their last 29 versus the NL West. The Diamondbacks are also 25-11 in their last 36 overall and 2-5 in the last seven during game one of a series. 

Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 6-1 in their last seven versus the NL West and 21-6 in their last 27 Friday games. LA is also 5-0 in Kershaw’s last five Friday starts and 43-8 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts versus the NL West. 

Though Kershaw is near untouchable in the regular season, he’s just 4-7 in the playoffs with a bloated 4.55 ERA. In his nine NLDS starts, he’s logged a 3-3 record with a 4.01 ERA. The name recognition is there, obviously, but a Dodgers victory is far from assured. As for Walker, he had seven earned on 13 hits over a span of 8.2 innings in two starts, but posted a good outing versus KC with one earned in 5.0 innings on three hits. I like Arizona’s offense right now, but with Kershaw’s ceiling I have to stick with the Dodgers here.

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