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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 10/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 6, 2017 at 10:30 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Kershaw vs. Taijuan Walker

The Line: Dodgers Diamondbacks --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Friday in game one of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium. 

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a back-and-forth wild card victory over the Colroado Rockies, 11-8, on Wednesday. The Diamondbacks needed all 17 hits and decided to go through two starting pitchers to get the job done, so it’s going to be interesting to see how they set up their rotation for this series. Either way, the Diamondbacks showed their offensive muscle in that elimination game and have now scored double-digit runs in five of their last 11 games. Paul Goldschmidt had two hits and three RBI in the victory and Daniel Descalso scored twice while driving in two RBI as well. The Arizona Diamondbacks are an extremely scary team when they’re firing on all cylinders, so I wouldn’t take this team lightly if I were a Dodgers fan. Taijuan Walker gets the ball, and he was 9-9 with a 3.49 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season. Walker has never pitched before in the postseason. 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 10/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers finished the regular season with eight wins in their last 10 games and finished with the best record in the majors. The Dodgers are a balanced team but are led by a pitching staff that finished with a 3.38 ERA, which was second in the majors and 1,549 strikeouts, which was fifth in the majors. Offensively, Corey Seager leads the Dodgers with 159 hits and 77 RBI while Chris Taylor and Justin Turner have combined for 295 hits and 143 RBI. The Los Angeles Dodgers have consistently been one of the top teams in baseball but haven’t made the World Series since 1988, so there’s reason to be cautiously optimistic about their chances. Clayton Kershaw gets the ball, and he was 18-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 202 strikeouts this season. Kershaw is 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA and 106 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Diamondbacks are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. National League West, 3-7 in their last 10 playoff games and 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games. The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West, 47-18 in their last 65 home games and 21-6 in their last 27 Friday games. The Diamondbacks are 10-27 in the last 37 meetings in Los Angeles, 6-0 in the last 6 meetings and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

We're not getting a cheap price at all considering Kershaw is on the mound against a pitcher who hasn't pitched before in the postseason. You can make a case for Arizona and the heavy plus money when you add in Kershaw's struggles in the playoffs, but I'm confident the Dodgers will find a way. Kershaw is still argubly the best pitcher in baseball and he's striking out over 11 guys per nine innings at home. Walker has actually been better on the road this season than at home, but we've seen how nerves can play a part this time of year already in the postseason, and he's going up against a talented Dodgers lineup. The price isn't cheap, but I'm not betting against Kershaw at home. 

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