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Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros - 10/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox (93-69) at Houston Astros (101-61)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 6, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Minute Maid Park)

D Pomeranz (17-6) (3.32) vs. D Keuchel (14-5) (2.90)

The Line: Houston Astros -165 / Boston Red Sox +142 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros meet Friday in game 2 of the ALDS at Minute Maid Park.

The Boston Red Sox hope to tie up this series before heading home for game three, as they were rocked 8-2 on Thursday. The Red Sox just couldn’t get going offensively, and they watched Chris Sale give up nine hits and three homers in five innings. The good news for the Red Sox is that Hanley Ramirez had two hits in three at bats and the bottom of the lineup was able to drive in both of Boston’s runs. The bad news is that the Boston Red Sox have absolutely no chance in this series if their pitching staff can’t miss bats and control this explosive Houston Astros lineup. Drew Pomeranz gets the ball, and he was 17-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season. Pomeranz is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and seven strikeouts in his postseason career. 

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Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros - 10/6/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Houston Astros hope to take full control of this series with another victory, inching closer to the ALCS. In Thursday’s victory, the Astros put together 12 hits and four homers. Jose Altuve stole the show with three bombs, while Marwin Gonzalez and Brian McCann combined for two hits and four RBI. We knew the Houston Astros lineup was dangerous, but when everybody is dialed in and making good contact, it’s damn near impossible to stay in games, as crooked numbers go up quickly. The Astros are a confident bunch right now and that should carry over to this game. Dallas Keuchel gets the ball, and he was 14-5 with a 2.90 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. Keuchel is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Red Sox are 4-1 in Pomeranzs last 5 road starts, 6-0 in Pomeranzs last 6 Friday starts and 18-6 in Pomeranzs last 24 starts. The Astros are 13-3 in Keuchels last 16 Friday starts, 35-16 in Keuchels last 51 home starts and 18-7 in Keuchels last 25 starts. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Pomeranz has been decent recently, allowing one or less runs in three of his last four starts and having a 3.19 ERA on the road, which is better than his ERA at home. However, Keuchel has a 2.26 ERA along with a .187 batting average at home, and he has a 2.87 ERA in five starts in the month of September. Keuchel has been tough to bet against this season, especially when pitching in Houston, and he's fresh off his best month since when he started the season red hot in the month of April. Add the fact the Astros lineup is feeling itself right now, and I don't see the Red Sox having enough to slow things down. The pitching combination with the bats is too good. 

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