Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers NLDS Game 2 - 10/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks (94-69) at Los Angeles Dodgers (104-58)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 9:08 pm (Dodger Stadium)
Robbie Ray (15-5) (2.90) vs. R Hill (12-8) (3.32)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers / Arizona Diamondbacks --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in game two of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium.
The Arizona Diamondbacks hope to tie up this series before going home for game three on Monday. In the Diamondbacks loss, the pitching staff allowed nine runs and 12 hits, which means Arizona has given up a combined 17 runs and 25 hits in its first two preseason games overall. Those numbers have to improve if the Diamondbacks are going to make the deep postseason run some predicted we’ll see. As for the offense in the game one loss, J.D. Martinez had three hits and one RBI while Ketel Marte and Jeff Mathis combined for three runs and three hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have the offense to hang with anybody, but that’s only when the pitching shows up. Robbie Ray gets the ball, and he was 15-5 with a 2.89 ERA and 218 strikeouts this season. Ray is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA and three strikeouts in his postseason career.
USA TODAY Sports
The Los Angeles Dodgers can take full control of this series with another victory at home. The Dodgers showed no signs of rust despite not playing in several days, as they jumped on Arizona with a 4-0 lead after the first inning. Justin Turner led the Dodgers with three hits and five RBI while Corey Seager and Yasiel Puig combined for four hits and four RBI. The Dodgers pitching staff also held a hot Arizona lineup to just one run in the first five innings, taking the life out of the game early. The Los Angeles Dodgers have now scored five or more runs in six of their last seven games and are possibly the toughest team in the league to beat when both the bats and the arms are working together. Rich Hill gets the ball, and he was 12-8 with a 3.32 ERA and 166 strikeouts this season. Hill is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rays last 5 road starts, 4-1 in Rays last 5 Saturday starts and 20-8 in Rays last 28 starts. The Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 Saturday games, 47-18 in their last 65 home games and 8-0 in Hills last 8 Saturday starts. The Dodgers are 1-4 in Hills last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks, the Diamondbacks are 10-27 in the last 37 meetings in Los Angeles and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Hill has allowed just two runs in his last 18 innings and has an ERA of 1.86 in his last 29 innings. Hill also has a 2.77 ERA along with an allowed batting average of .177 at home this season. Just lights out stuff. Ray had a 2.40 ERA in the month of September and gained playoff experience in the wild card game against the Rockies in which he threw 34 pitches. Ray also has a 1.86 ERA along with an allowed batting average of .176 on the road, easily better than what his home numbers have to offer. You can't go wrong with either pitcher in this spot, and while I like the Dodgers to win this series, the value is going to be on the Arizona Diamondbacks and the heavy plus money, assuming that's what we're getting here. So, based on the value, I'd take a shot with Arizona based on how well Ray has been on the road this season.