Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs NLDS Game 2 - 10/7/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Chicago Cubs (92-70) at Washington Nationals (97-65)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Nationals Park)
J Lester (13-8) (4.33) vs. G Gonzalez (15-9) (2.96)
The Line: Washington Nationals -125 / Chicago Cubs +105 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Out at Nationals Park on Saturday, the National League Division Series between the Chicago Cubs and the Washington Nationals will continue with Game 2.
In the Friday Game 1, the Cubs scored twice in the sixth inning, riding that wave to a 3-0 victory. The Nats came up with just two hits in that one.
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For Saturday’s game, the Cubs will be bringing out lefty Jon Lester for the start. In his 180.2 innings and 13-8 record this year, Lester has a 4.33 ERA with 180 Ks and 60 BBs.
Chicago has some key hitters this year. Kris Bryant finished the season with 162 hits, 111 runs, 29 homers and 73 RBI while Anthony Rizzo had 156 hits, 99 runs, 32 homers and 109 RBI. Bryant and Rizzo combined for three hits, three RBI and a run on Friday.
Over on the Nationals’ side, they’re going with LHP Gio Gonzalez on Saturday. In his 201.0 innings and 15-9 record this year, Gonzalez has a 2.96 ERA with 188 Ks and 79 BBs.
Washington has some big bats as well. David Murphy came out of the regular season with 172 hits, 94 runs, 23 homers and 93 RBI; Ryan Zimmerman had a great year as well on 159 hits, 90 runs, 36 homers and 108 RBI. Zimmerman and Murphy combined to go 0-for-6 in Game 1.
The Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 Saturday games and 9-4 in the last 13 during game two of a series. Chicago is also 5-1 in Lester’s last six Saturday starts and 4-1 in Lester’s last five starts with six days’ rest.
Meanwhile, the Nationals are 0-5 in their last five games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and the under is 4-0-1 in the Nats’ last five Saturday games. The under is 4-1 in Washington’s last five during game two of a series, and the Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 playoff games.
After seven earned on eight hits in 4.1 innings in Tampa, Lester won his next two starts with one earned total over 11.0 innings on nine hits. As for Gonzalez, he had a bit of a rough go across his last four regular-season starts, with one quality start and 16 earned runs over 21.1 innings. I don’t have a whole lot of confidence in Gonzalez right now, so I’m going to go with Lester and the Cubs in Game 2.