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Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees - 10/8/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Indians (103-60) at New York Yankees (92-72)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 7:38 pm (Yankee Stadium)

C Carrasco (18-6) (3.28) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (13-12) (4.74)

The Line: New York Yankees -102 / Cleveland Indians -108 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees meet Sunday in game three of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium. 

The Cleveland Indians can advance to another ALCS if they get the victory here, completing the sweep. The Indians made a monster comeback to steal game two and have now produced 13 runs in the first two games of this series. Francisco Lindor led the way with two runs and four RBI while Jason Kipnis and Carlos Santana combined for three hits and three RBI. The Indians pitching staff also deserves credit, shutting out the Yankees in the last eight innings. The Cleveland Indians showed that experience matters in the postseason, and this is a battle tested team that never believes they’re out of a game no matter the circumstances. Carlos Carrasco gets the ball, and he was 18-6 with a 3.29 ERA and 226 strikeouts this season. Carrasco has never pitched in the postseason in his career. 

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees - 10/8/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees need a victory here if they’re going to force a game four on Monday. The Yankees had an 8-3 lead at the end of the fifth inning in game two but just couldn’t close the deal like they did in their wild card matchup. The good news the Yanks offense showed signs of life, as Greg Bird, Gary Sanchez and Aaron Hicks combined for seven RBI, but the pitching staff has to do a better job of closing the door. Maybe the electric atmosphere of Yankee Stadium can help this young team get back on track and climb back in this series. The New York Yankees have allowed four or more runs in six of their last 13 games overall, putting too much pressure on their offense. Masahiro Tanaka gets the ball, and he was 13-12 with a 4.74 ERA and 194 strikeouts this season. Tanaka is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and three strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 games following an off day, 36-16 in Carrascos last 52 road starts and 40-17 in Carrascos last 57 starts. The Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 home games, 38-16 in Tanakas last 54 home starts and 6-2 in Tanakas last 8 starts. The Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York, 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and the over is 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. Yankees. 

Carrasco has been lights out in September, as he has a 1.48 ERA in 42.2 innings and has allowed just one run in his last 14 innings. Carrasco also has a 2.65 ERA on the road along with an allowed .210 batting average. However, Carrasco was tagged in his only game against the Yankees this season and he has zero postseason experience. Tanaka is coming off possibly his best game of the season in which he pitched seven shutout innings against the Blue Jays, and he has a solid 3.22 ERA with an allowed .232 batting average at home. The Yanks showed signs of life in game three and that small park fits them well. I also don't trust pitchers who have never been on this stage before. I like these kids to build on the positives and find a way to stretch this series to Monday. 

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