Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Game 4 - 10/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Astros (103-61) at Boston Red Sox (93-71)
MLB Baseball: Monday, October 9, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Fenway Park)
C Morton (14-7) (3.62) vs. R Porcello (11-17) (4.63)
The Line: Boston Red Sox TBA / Houston Astros TBA --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Out at historic Fenway Park on Monday, the American League Division Series between the Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox will pick up again with Game 4.
Houston won the first two games convincingly, each by a score of 8-2, but Boston staved off elimination on Sunday with a 10-3 victory that forced the series to continue.
USA TODAY Sports
For the Monday game, the Astros will be going with RHP Charlie Morton. In his 146.2 innings and 14-7 record this year, Morton has a 3.62 ERA with 163 Ks and 50 BBs.
Houston has some notable bats this year. Jose Altuve led the way in the regular season with 204 hits, 112 runs, 24 homers and 81 RBI while Alex Bregman put up 158 hits, 88 runs, 19 homers and 71 RBI. Altuve put up three hits on Sunday; Bregman went 0-for-4.
It’s looking like Boston will be going with RHP Rick Porcello on Monday. Over his 33 starts and 203.1 innings this year, Porcello posted a 4.65 ERA with 181 Ks for a 11-17 record.
The Red Sox have some pretty big hitters as well. Mookie Betts led the way through the regular season with 166 hits, 101 runs, 24 homers and 102 RBI; Xander Bogaerts had 156 hits, 94 runs, 10 homers and 62 RBI. On Sunday, Bogaerts went 0-for-5, but Betts had a hit and a run.
The Astros are 4-1 in the last five Monday games and 24-8 in their last 32 overall. Houston is also 5-1 in Morton’s last six starts and 5-2 in Morton’s last seven road starts.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five in game four of a series and 11-4 in the last 15 Divisional Playoff games. Boston is also 20-9 in their last 29 playoff home games and 3-5 in their last eight home games.
Morton finished off the regular season strong, allowing just four earned over his last three starts, a span of 18.1 innings. In Morton’s only start against Boston this season (September 29 at Fenway), he went 5.1 innings with two runs. As for Porcello, he’s likely going to need some help from the Boston bats, and there’s no guarantee they’ll show up. Though I can see several scenarios in which the Red Sox can win this game, I’m going to go with the Astros here.