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Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals - 10/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals (97-66) at Chicago Cubs (93-70)

MLB Baseball: Monday, October 9, 2017 at 4:08 pm (Wrigley Field)

M Scherzer (16-6) (2.51) vs. J Quintana (11-11) (4.15)

The Line: Chicago Cubs +115 / Washington Nationals -125 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Washington Nationals and the Chicago Cubs will face off in game three of NLDS from Wrigley Field on Monday.

The Washington Nationals will look to build some momentum after evening the series up at one win apiece thanks to a 6-3 victory in game two on Saturday. All of the Nats’ damage on the board was done with the home run, with Ryan Zimmerman going 2 for 4 with a three run homer, while Bryce Harper added a two run shot and Anthony Rendon chipped in a solo dinger. Daniel Murphy and Adam Lind each contributed base hits in the winning effort for Washington. Gio Gonzalez gave up all three runs on three hits while walking a pair and striking out six, not factoring in the decision. Oliver Perez got the win, while Sean Doolittle closed out the 9th for his first save of the postseason. Max Scherzer will start game three and was 16-6 with a 2.51 ERA and 268 strikeouts in the regular season. In his career, Scherzer is 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 51 strikeouts against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals - 10/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will look to rebound after coming so close to going up 2-0 in the series before a 5-run Washington bottom of the 8th resulted in Chicago’s undoing in the loss. Like the Nats, the Cubs did all their scoring with home runs, with Anthony Rizzo belting a two run shot while Willson Contreras added a solo homer. Kris Bryant went 2 for 4 with a double while Addison Russell and Ben Zobrist contributed base knocks of their own in the losing effort. Jon Lester gave up one run on two hits while walking and striking out a pair each, not factoring in the decision. Carl Edwards Jr. ended up on the hook for three runs in the 8th, notching his first blown save and loss of the postseason. Jose Quintana will start game three for the Cubs and was 11-11 with a 4.15 ERA and 207 strikeouts split between the White Sox and the Cubs in the regular season. This will be Quintana’s first career start against Washington.

Washington is 36-15 in Scherzer's last 51 starts overall and 4-1 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter while the under is 11-1 in their last 12 games after a day off. Chicago is 6-0 in Quintana's last 6 starts and 16-5 in their last 21 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 playoff home games. Washington is 2-5 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Chicago.

The Cubs have gotten the W in eight of Quintana’s last nine starts, but as an individual pitcher, he has been a mixed bag of results, giving up three runs or more in five of his last ten starts. And I’m not sure this is the time when you want to make your first career start against a Nats team that knows how to swing the bat with the best of them and has all of the momentum after their big come from behind win in game two. It’s not often that you get the Cubs at Wrigley with plus money, but it’s also rare to get a top pitcher like Scherzer with a low line like this, so I’ll take a shot with the Nationals to put the Cubs on the brink with a win in game three. 

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