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Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox - 10/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros (103-61) at Boston Red Sox (93-71)

MLB Baseball: Monday, October 9, 2017 at 1:05 pm (Fenway Park)

C Morton (14-7) (3.62) vs. R Porcello (11-17) (4.63)

The Line: Boston Red Sox +105 / Houston Astros -115 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox square off in game four of the ALDS from Fenway Park on Monday.

The Houston Astros will look to bounce back and win the series after failing to complete the sweep following their 10-3 loss to the BoSox in game three on Sunday. Carlos Correa went 1 for 5 with a two run homer while Josh Reddick added an RBI of his own to round out the scoring for Houston in the loss. Yuli Gurriel went a perfect 4 for 4, while Jose Altuve went 3 for 4 at the dish. George Springer went 2 for 5 while Marwin Gonzalez added a base hit of his own in the losing effort for the ‘Stros. Brad Peacock gave up three runs on six hits while striking out four over just 2.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Francisco Liriano gave up what ended up being the game-winning run back in the 3rd inning to take the loss. Charlie Morton will start game four and was 14-7 with a 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in the regular season. In his career, Morton is 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Boston.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox - 10/9/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will look to build some momentum and even up the series after emerging victorious in game three on Sunday. Rafael Devers and Jackie Bradley Jr. each hit their first home run of the postseason and added three RBIs apiece, while Hanley Ramirez went 4 for 4 with a double and three RBIs while Sandy Leon added an RBI of his own to round out the scoring for the BoSox. Mitch Moreland went 3 for 5 with a double, while Dustin Pedroia, Andrew Benintendi and Mookie Betts all contributed base hits in the winning effort for Boston. Doug Fister gave up all three runs on four hits over 1.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision, while Joe Kelly got the win and David Price added four shutout innings of relief, striking out four in the process. Rick Porcello will start game four and was 11-17 with a 4.65 ERA and 181 strikeouts in the regular season. In his career, Porcello is 1-1 with a 5.49 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston is 24-9 in their last 33 games overall and 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games. Boston is 1-5 in their last 6 playoff games and 2-5 in their last 7 against the AL West while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Houston is 7-16 in the last 23 meetings between these two teams in Boston.

Boston may have responded with a win in game three, but I think that Monday is the end of the line for the Red Sox. I have zero faith in Porcello as I have for most of the season, and although Porcello, like his counterpart in Charlie Morton, has had his team win his last three starts, Porcello has allowed nine runs in his last 9.2 innings, while Morton hasn’t given up more than two earned in each of his last five starts. I’ll take Houston to wrap things up on Monday with a big W.

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