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Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees - 10/13/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees (94-73) at Houston Astros (104-62)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 13, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Minute Maid Park)

M Tanaka (13-12) (4.74) vs. D Keuchel (14-5) (2.90)

The Line: Houston Astros -165 / New York Yankees -155 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The New York Yankees and the Houston Astros square off in game one of the ALCS from Minute Maid Park on Friday.

The New York Yankees will look to start the series off with a bang after rallying from a 2-0 series deficit to win their series against the Indians in five games, following a 5-2 win in game five on Wednesday. Didi Gregorius led the charge by going 3 for 4 with a pair of home runs and three RBIs, while Brett Gardner added an RBI of his own, going 3 for 5 at the dish in the win. Starlin Castro and Aaron Hicks each contributed a base hit in the winning effort for New York. CC Sabathia went 4.1 innings, giving up both runs on five hits while striking out nine, not factoring in the decision. David Robertson got the win, his first of the postseason, while Aroldis Chapman struck out four over two innings of scoreless relief for his 2nd save of the playoffs. Masahiro Tanaka will start the series opener after throwing seven innings of three hit shutout baseball in a game three victory against Cleveland, striking out seven in the win. In his career, Tanaka is 0-2 with a 10.38 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees - 10/13/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros come into this series well rested after taking care of the Red Sox in four games, including a 5-4 victory on Monday to close out the set. Alex Bregman belted out a solo home run, while Carlos Beltran added a pinch-hit RBI double. George Springer went 3 for 4 with a double and an RBI while Josh Reddick added an RBI of his own to round out the scoring for the ‘Stros in the win. Yuli Gurriel went 3 for 5 with a triple, while Carlos Correa and Evan Gattis each chipped in a base hit in the win for Houston. Charlie Morton went 4.1 innings, giving up two runs on seven hits while walking a pair and striking out six, not factoring in the decision. Justin Verlander got his 2nd win of the postseason in relief, while Ken Giles closed out the 8th and 9th, notching his 1st save of the postseason. Dallas Keuchel will start game one after giving up one run on three hits while striking out seven, getting the win in game two against Boston. In his career, Keuchel is 4-2 with a 1.41 ERA and 45 strikeouts against the Yankees.

New York is 20-8 in their last 28 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 games against the AL West while the under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Houston is 13-3 in their last 16 home games and 5-1 in Keuchel's last 6 starts against the AL East while the over is 9-3 in their last 12 games overall. Houston is 5-1 in Keuchel's last 6 starts against the Yankees.

My initial lean went to the Yankees who have a lot of momentum after taking down the top-seed in the AL. However, that was before seeing the pitching matchup. Tanaka has struggled against the Astros, while Keuchel has had a lot of success against New York as have the Astros when Keuchel takes the bump. I'll lay the juice with Houston here to draw first blood.

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