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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins - 3/29/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins (0-0) at Baltimore Orioles (0-0)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 3:05 pm (Camden Yards)

J Odorizzi (0-0) (0.00) vs. D Bundy (0-0) (0.00)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles -111 / Minnesota Twins +101 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: MASN

MLB and Camden Yards kick off the 2018 slate when the Baltimore Orioles host the Minnesota Twins.

The Minnesota Twins will be looking to challenge Cleveland in the AL Central after taking the Wild Card in 2017 with an 85-77 campaign. The offense first Twins did a lot of damage on the scoreboard with 5.03 runs (7th) on a .260 batting average. The Twins were middle of the row in he home run department with 206 but cracked the top ten in steals with 95.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins - 3/29/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota did have problems on the mound with a team ERA of 4.59 and WHIP of 1.37 and only 62 quality starts so the arms need further improvement to take the next step. Newcomer Jake Odorizzi comes over from Tampa Bay and has been given the start after going 10-8 with a 4.14 ERA in 28 starts where he served up 30 home runs. 

The Baltimore Orioles hit plenty of long balls in 2017 but generally struggled otherwise in 2017. Baltimore hit .260 as a team and averaged 4.59 runs thanks to 232 homers (#5) and virtually no team speed with a mere 32 stolen bases.

The Orioles were hurt in the win column because of struggles on the mound with a team ERA of 4.97 and 1.45 WHIP with both ranked #27. Baltimore only produced 61 quality starts and the starters have to show marked improvement to overcome last season’s 75-87 record. Dylan Bundy draws the O’s opening day start after going 13-9 in 2017 with a 4.24 ERA with 26 homers allowed over 28 starts.

Under is 16-5 in Minnesota last 21 Thursday games and over is 6-2-1 in Minnesota last 9 road games. Over is 8-2 in Baltimore last 10 home games and Baltimore are 6-21 in their last 27 overall and Baltimore are 5-16 in their last 21 games on grass. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Baltimore and Minnesota are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Bundy was the best Baltimore had to offer in 2017 and Odorizzi was brought in to boost a poor Minnesota staff. The Orioles are a solid home team but I like the odds with the better team…

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