San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 3/29/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (0-0) at San Diego Padres (0-0)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 4:10 pm (PETCO Park)
C Anderson (0-0) (0.00) vs. C Richard (0-0) (0.00)
The Line: San Diego Padres +102 / Milwaukee Brewers -112 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Wisconsin, FS-San Diego
The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres kick off their respective 2018 MLB regular seasons with game one of a three game set from Petco Park on Thursday.
The Milwaukee Brewers come into the 2018 season fresh off of a solid 86-76 mark in 2017, that saw the Brew Crew finish with their first winning season in 3 years and their best winning percentage since 2011, but unfortunately it wasn’t enough as Milwaukee missed out on the 2nd wild card spot in the NL by just one game at the end of the season. The usual suspects return in Milwaukee’s batting order, with the likes of Ryan Braun, Eric Thames and Travis Shaw, however the Brewers made quite the splash in the offseason, acquiring Christian Yelich from the Marlins and signing Lorenzo Cain to a 5-year, $80 million deal in free agency. Chase Anderson leads the Brewers’ starting rotation until Jimmy Nelson is able to return from shoulder surgery in late May or early June. Anderson will get the opening day start for Milwaukee and was 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 133 strikeouts over 25 starts last season. In his career, Anderson is 3-1 with a 3.99 ERA and 32 strikeouts against San Diego.
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The San Diego Padres come into their 2018 campaign looking to rebound after finishing the year with a 71-91 overall mark, finishing 4th in the NL West, a whopping 33 games behind the division winner and current NL champion Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres made a couple big deals of their own in the offseason, shipping Jabari Blash to the Yankees for Chase Headley and Bryan Mitchell, in addition to inking first baseman Eric Hosmer to an 8-year, $144 million deal, the largest contract I franchise history. The Padres’ starting rotation isn’t the most imposing in the majors, but Clayton Richard, along with Tyson Ross who will be looking to turn things around after injury issues in 2016-17 and the aforementioned Mitchell, will look to be key cogs in the process of turning things around for San Diego this season, while the Padres also have some depth starters like Jordan Lyles, Colin Rea and Matt Strahm. Richard will get the nod on opening day and was 8-15 with a 4.79 ERA and 151 strikeouts last season. In his career, Richard is 3-4 with a 5.51 ERA and 35 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts and 9-3 in their last 12 road games while the under is 10-1 in their last 11 games against the NL West. San Diego is 4-0 in Richard’s last 4 home starts and 1-6 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against the NL Central. Milwaukee is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams while San Diego is 0-4 in Richard’s last 4 starts against Milwaukee.
San Diego has had success with Richard on the mound at home, but to be honest, I’m surprised to be getting Milwaukee at near even money given the way both finished last season. Sure, it’s opening day, anything can happen and the Padres will be looking to show off their shiny new toy in Eric Hosmer. However, Milwaukee arguably had the better haul in the offseason and I think have the better team here. Add in San Diego’s struggles when Richard faces Milwaukee, and I think you have to give an edge to the Brewers to start the year on a high note.