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Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers - 4/12/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers (4-7) at Cleveland Indians (7-5)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 12, 2018 at 6:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Michael Fulmer (1-1) (0.68) vs. T Bauer (0-1) (2.08)

The Line: Cleveland Indians -175 / Detroit Tigers +155 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Detroit, SportsTime Ohio

We have some AL Central action on Thursday evening as the Detroit Tigers take on the Cleveland Indians in the finale of their four game set from Progressive Field.

The Detroit Tigers will look to salvage a victory and avoid the sweep after dropping the first three games of the set, including a 5-1 loss in game three on Wednesday. Leonys Martin accounted for Detroit’s one run and three base hits in the loss, going 3 for 4 at the dish with a solo home run and a double. Jordan Zimmermann lasted just 0.2 innings in the start before taking a line drive off of the jaw with 2 outs in the 1st inning and was forced to leave the game. Daniel Norris came in in relief and gave up four runs on seven hits while striking out three over three innings of work to fall to 0-1 this season. Michael Fulmer will start the finale and is 1-1 with a 0.68 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fulmer is 2-2 with a 6.04 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Cleveland.

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Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers - 4/12/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will look to complete the sweep after their victory in game three on Wednesday. Yonder Alonso led the Tribe with two RBIs, while Francisco Lindor went 2 for 5 with a double and an RBI and Michael Brantley and Tyler Naquin each added a run on the board as well. Jason Kipnis also chipped in a two-bagger while Yan Gomes and Bradley Zimmer each contributed a base hit in the winning effort. Carlos Carrasco improved to 3-0 this season, tossing a complete game, giving up just the one run on three hits while walking a pair and striking out six. Trevor Bauer will start game four and is 0-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bauer is 4-5 with a 7.82 ERA and 52 strikeouts against Detroit.

Detroit is 2-7 in Fulmer’s last 9 starts and 17-47 in their last 64 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Cleveland is 2-5 in Bauer’s last 7 starts and 41-12 in their last 53 games overall while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 8-0 in Bauer’s last 8 home starts against Detroit.

The logical pick here on the surface would be Cleveland as they’ve pretty much owned this series. However, Cleveland is 1-6 in Bauer’s last 7 home starts against Detroit and 1-7 in his last 8 starts against the Tigers overall. On the other side, Fulmer has looked good, but Detroit can’t give him any run support. Instead of trying to pick a side, I’m going to side with the over. It’s a common trend with these two on the bump against the opposing team and the two starters have a combined ERA just under 14 against the other. Yeah, I’m expecting fireworks in this one.

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