Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles - 4/15/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Orioles (5-10) at Boston Red Sox (12-2)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, April 15, 2018 at 1:05 pm (Fenway Park)
D Bundy (0-1) (1.35) vs. C Sale (1-0) (1.06)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -210 / Baltimore Orioles +190 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: MASN, NESN
We have some AL East division MLB action on Sunday as the Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox wrap up their three game set from Fenway Park.
The Baltimore Orioles will look to simply salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of the set, including a 10-3 rout on Saturday. Pedro Alvarez went 2 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs, while Chance Sisco added an RBI as well to round out the scoring for the O’s in the loss. Chris Davis and Trey Mancini each went 2 for 4 with a double while Anthony Santander added a two-bagger of his own and Manny Machado and Adam Jones each contributed a base knock to finish the offense for Baltimore in the loss. Alex Cobb took the loss, falling to 0-1 after giving up eight runs, seven earned, on ten hits in just 3.2 innings of work. Dylan Bundy will start the finale and is 0-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bundy is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Boston.
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The Boston Red Sox will look to continue their hot start and push their winning streak to four games after winning their 3rd straight on Saturday. Andrew Benintendi and Hanley Ramirez each went 2 for 5 with three RBIs, with Ramirez hitting a home run and a double while Benintendi added a double as well. J.D. Martinez went 3 for 5 with a homer and two RBIs, while Blake Swihart rounded out the scoring with a run of his own, going 2 for 3 with a double. Brock Holt went 2 for 4 with a double and Tzu-Wei Lin matched that mark at the dish while Jackie Bradley Jr. and Sandy Leon added base hits of their own in the winning effort. Hector Velazquez got the win, improving to 2-0 after giving up just two runs on six hits while striking out five over five innings of work, while Marcus Walden recorded his first save of the year with three innings of relief from the 7th to the 9th to close out the win. Chris Sale will start the finale and is 1-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 5-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 72 strikeouts against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 1-5 in Bundy’s last 6 starts and 9-29 in their last 38 games overall while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Boston is 8-3 in Sale’s last 11 home starts and 7-1 in their last 8 home games while the over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games overall. Baltimore is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
You could definitely argue that Bundy has been the best arm for the Orioles out of the gate. The issue is that Bundy, as good as he is, doesn’t get any run support, as the O’s have only scored six total runs in Bundy’s three starts this season. That won’t fly against Sale, who is stingy on the mound to begin with, and has won his last five career starts against the O’s by a coming score of 31-8, including a 21-5 margin in three starts as a member of the Red Sox. Numbers like that don’t lie, and I think you have to take the Red Sox on the run line to maximize the value of the bet.