Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 4/17/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds (3-13) at Milwaukee Brewers (8-9)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, April 17, 2018 at 7:40 pm (Miller Park)
Sal Romano (0-1) (5.87) vs. Junior Guerra (1-0) (1.69)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -155 / Cincinnati Reds +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Ohio, FS-Wisconsin
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers duke it out in game two of their three game NL Central division set from Miller Park in MLB action on Tuesday.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to build some momentum after snapping an eight game losing skid with a 10-4 victory that’s just their 3rd victory of the season. Billy Hamilton led the Reds with three RBIs, while Jose Peraza went 1 for 5 with a double and two RBIs. Joey Votto, Adam Duvall and Scooter Gennett each added a double and an RBI with Duvall contributing a pair of two-baggers. Tucker Barnhart and starting pitcher Luis Castillo each added an RBI as well, while Phillip Ervin went 2 for 5 with a double and Phil Gosselin added a base knock of his own in the win. Luis Castillo got his first win of the season, improving to 1-2 after giving up all four runs on five hits while walking three and striking out eight over 6.2 innings of work. Sal Romano will start game two and is 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his career, Romano is 0-3 with a 7.24 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
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The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce back from a beatdown at the hands of the Reds on home soil on Monday. Jorge Lopez went 1 for 2 with a double and two RBIs, while Jonathan Villar added a run on the board as well in the losing effort. Orlando Arcia went 2 for 4 at the dish, while Lorenzo Cain, Travis Shaw and Jesus Aguilar each added a base hit as well in the losing effort. Brent Suter took the loss, falling to 1-2 this season after giving up three runs on six hits while striking out four over five innings of work. Junior Guerra will start game two and is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. In his career, Guerra is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 1-5 in their last 6 division matchups and 1-4 in Romano’s last 5 starts while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Milwaukee is 1-4 in Guerra’s last 5 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 home games while the under is 19-9 in their last 28 division matchups. The over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee.
The Reds got a big confidence win in game one, but I can’t back the Reds for a second given Romano’s struggles against the Brewers in his career. On the other hand, I got burned by Milwaukee on Monday and I need to see signs of life and consistency before I can put my confidence back in Milwaukee even at home. Instead, I’m going to side with the over here as you have a combined ERA over 13 between the two starters against the opposition in their careers and it’s hit in over 75% of the last 22 meetings between these two.