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Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Game One - 5/3/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (17-13) at Cleveland Indians (16-13)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, May 3, 2018 at 1:10 pm (Progressive Field)

J Garcia (2-2) (5.40) vs. C Carrasco (4-1) (3.08)

The Line: Cleveland Indians -192 / Toronto Blue Jays +180 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: SportsTime Ohio

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Cleveland Indians square off in game one of a doubleheader in MLB action from Progressive Field on Thursday. 

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to rebound after dropping their series finale against the Twins, failing to complete the sweep after being shut out 4-0 on Wednesday. Kevin Pillar went 2 for 3 at the dish, while Aledmys Diaz added a double and Teoscar Hernandez, Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales all added base hits as well in the losing effort for Toronto. Marcus Stroman remained winless, sitting at 0-4 after giving up two runs on six hits while striking out five over seven innings of work in the loss. Jaime Garcia will start the opener and is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his career, Garcia is 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Cleveland.

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Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Game One - 5/3/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will be looking for some consistency after splitting their last 16 games, but won their series with Texas in their last outing, taking the series finale by a final score of 12-4 on Wednesday. Edwin Incarnation ruled the day, hitting three homers with six RBIs. Jason Kipnis went 2 for 4 with a homer, a double and three RBIs, while Francisco Lindor belted a solo shot of his own. Michael Brantley added a double and an RBI while Rajai Davis added a run of his own to finish off the scoring for the Tribe in the win. Erik Gonzalez went 3 for 4 with a triple and a double while Brandon Guyer added a two-bagger of his own to cap off the offense for Cleveland in the victory. Corey Kluber got the win to improve to 5-1 this season, giving up three runs on six hits while striking out six over seven innings of work. Carlos Carrasco will start game one and is 4-1 with a 3.08 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. In his career, Carrasco is 3-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 37 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto is 6-2 in their last 8 games against the AL Central and 11-5 in their last 16 games against a right-handed starter while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall. Cleveland is 16-5 in Carrasco’s last 21 home starts and 35-16 in their last 51 games against a left-handed starter while the over is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. Cleveland is 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts against Toronto.

As a Jays fan, it kinda hurts to say, but Garcia is one of those pitchers that I just don’t trust. Garcia hasn’t gone more than six innings in any start this season and has given up three or more in each of his last four starts, including a season-high five in his last outing against a subpar Texas team. Carrasco has been very good on the other side, only giving up more than two runs once in April and that came in his last start against Seattle. Plus, Carrasco has had a lot of success against Toronto, with the Indians winning each of his last four starts against the Blue Jays, so I’d probably side with Cleveland to open the doubleheader with a win. 

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