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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/16/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (25-17) at Arizona Diamondbacks (24-17)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 3:40 pm (Chase Field)

Brandon Woodruff (1-0) (8.03) vs. Matt Koch (2-1) (2.43)

The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks +100 / Milwaukee Brewers -120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Arizona, FS-Wisconsin

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet in the rubber match of their three game set from Chase Field on Wednesday night in MLB action.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to rebound after dropping game two by a final score of 2-1 on Tuesday. Travis Shaw opened the scoring with an RBI double, but that’s all the scoring the Brew Crew would do in the losing effort. Christian Yelich and Jesus Aguilar each added a double as well, while Manny Pina and starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin each added a base knock as well in the loss. Chacin went seven innings on the mound, allowing just one run on two hits while striking out seven, not factoring in the decision. Taylor Williams took the loss, falling to 0-1 this season. Brandon Woodruff will start game three and is 1-0 with an 8.03 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Woodruff’s first career start against Arizona.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/16/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to win the set after taking game two, despite putting up just three hits as a team in the win. Daniel Descalso went 1 for 3 with an Rbi, while Steven Souza Jr. hit into a double play, cashing in a run as well. David Peralta and Paul Goldschmidt each added base hits in the winning effort for Arizona. Zack Greinke went six innings, allowing the one run on four his while striking out five, not factoring in the decision. Archie Bradley got the win to improve to 1-1 while Brad Boxberger struck out a pair in the 9th for his 12th save of the season. Matt Koch will start game three and is 2-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Koch’s first career start against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 4-0 in Woodruff’s last 4 road starts while the under is 74-34-5 in their last 113 games overall. Arizona is 1-5 in their last 6 home games and 1-6 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 6-1 in Koch’s last 7 starts overall The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the two in Arizona.

Call me crazy, but I’m not sure why Milwaukee is favoured here. Koch has been solid as a starter this season, giving up three runs or less in all five starts, and the lone three run outing was in his last start where he was outdueled by some guy named Max Scherzer over eight innings of work. Woodruff is fresh off of an outing where he allowed eight runs in just three innings. No thanks. Koch is the better option here and I’ll gladly take Arizona on Wednesday at even money.

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