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Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers - 5/21/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers (20-26) at Minnesota Twins (19-23)

MLB Baseball: Monday, May 21, 2018 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)

B Hardy (0-0) (3.38) vs. Jose Berrios (4-4) (4.05)

The Line: Minnesota Twins -200 / Detroit Tigers +185 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Detroit, FS-North

The Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins duke it out in the opener of their three game set from Target Field in MLB action on Monday night.

The Detroit Tigers will look to rebound after losing their series with Seattle, dropping the final three games of the set, including a 3-2 loss in 11 innings in the series finale on Sunday. John Hicks opened the scoring for the Tigers in the 1st inning with a two run home run, but that’s all the scoring that Detroit would do in the losing effort. Mikie Mahtook and Jose Iglesias each added a double while Nick Castellanos and James McCann each had two base hits in the defeat. Victor Martinez and JaCoby Jones each added base hits of their own in the loss as well. Francisco Liriano was superb, throwing eight shutout innings allowing just one hit while carrying a no-hitter into the 7th inning, striking out five in the game. Shane Greene gave up the game-tying two-run home run in the 9th inning for his 3rd blown save of the year, while Buck Farmer took the loss to fall to 0-3 this season. Blaine Hardy will start the series opener and is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Hardy’s first career start against Minnesota.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers - 5/21/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins will look to build some steam after salvaging a win from their series with the Milwaukee Brewers, taking the series finale by a final score of 3-1 on Sunday. Logan Morrison led the Twins with two RBIs, going 1 for 3, while Max Kepler added an RBI as well to round out the scoring for Minnesota in the win. Eddie Rosario and Eduardo Escobar each added a double, while Mitch Garver and Byron Buxton each added base hits as well in the winning effort. Jake Odorizzi gave up the one run on five hits while striking out ten over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Addison Reed got the win to improve to 1-3 this season, while Fernando Rodney struck out the side in the 9th for his 9th save of the season. Jose Berrios will start game one and is 4-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his career, Berrios is 2-1 with an 11.74 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Detroit.

Detroit is 3-10 in their last 13 Monday games and 16-37 in their last 53 division matchups while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against a right-handed starter. Minnesota is 11-2 in Berrios’ last 13 home starts and 1-7 in their last 8 Monday games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter. Detroit is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams in Minnesota. 

The plus money with Detroit is tempting as I don’t think there’s that big of a gap between these two as you would’ve guessed at the start of the year. However, although Hardy looked pretty good in his only start this season, he’s still making a spot start and hasn’t seen a ton of action this season so who knows what we’ll see. On the other hand, you have Berrios, who has had some success against the Tigers, but prior to his last start against Detroit, he had given up 19 runs, 18 earned, in just nine innings over the three previous starts against the Tigers. Instead of trying to pick a side and laying an uncomfortable amount of juice, I’ll side with the over as both offenses have proven that they can really hit the ball lately.

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