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Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox - 6/21/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox (49-26) at Minnesota Twins (33-37)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, June 21, 2018 at 1:10 pm (Target Field)

R Porcello (8-3) (3.70) vs. K Gibson (2-4) (3.27)

The Line: Minnesota Twins +110 / Boston Red Sox -120 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: NESN, FSN

The Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action at Target Field.

The Boston Red Sox could use a victory here after losing four of their last five games. The Red Sox have allowed 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost five of their last six games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, J.D. Martinez leads the Red Sox with 84 hits and 55 RBI while Andrew Benintendi and Mookie Betts have combined for 152 hits and 85 RBI. Rick Porcello gets the ball, and he is 8-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Porcello is 10-10 with a 3.90 ERA and 110 strikeouts in his career against the Twins.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox - 6/21/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins look to stay hot after winning six of their last nine games. The Twins have scored 11 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last nine games. The Minnesota Twins have won seven of their last nine games when scoring more than one run. Eddie Rosario leads the Twins with 89 hits and 46 RBI while Eduardo Escobar and Brian Dozier have combined for 139 hits and 78 RBI. Kyle Gibson gets the ball, and he is 2-4 with a 3.27 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Gibson is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 during game 3 of a series, 7-3 in their last 10 road games and 8-2 in Porcellos last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. The Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series, 1-5 in their last 6 Thursday games and 15-7 in Gibsons last 22 starts. The Red Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.

The Boston Red Sox are in a bit of a slump right now and are throwing out a pitcher in Porcello who has been shaky this season, allowing three or more runs in each of his last eight starts. Gibson may not have many wins this season, but he's allowed just five runs in his last 26.2 innings of work and is giving up a .205 batting average on the season. The Twins are playing some of their better baseball of the season right now and have a chance to keep chipping away at that division lead. I like the value of the plus money here based on Gibson's current form.

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