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New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners - 6/21/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (46-27) at New York Yankees (48-22)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, June 21, 2018 at 1:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

J Paxton (6-1) (3.44) vs. Luis Severino (10-2) (2.09)

The Line: New York Yankees -205 / Seattle Mariners +190 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: YES, RTNW

Coming up from Yankee Stadium on Thursday, the Seattle Mariners and the New York Yankees will be finishing up their MLB series. 

In the Tuesday opener, the Yankees rode a barrage of homers to a 7-2 victory. On Wednesday, New York mounted a staggering comeback from a 5-0 hole to take it 7-5 on a two-run walk-off bomb from Giancarlo Stanton. 

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New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners - 6/21/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

For the Thursday game, the Mariners will be bringing out LHP James Paxton. In his 91.2 innings and 6-1 mark this season, Paxton has a 3.44 ERA with 115 Ks and 26 BBs. 

Jean Segura leads the Mariners in hitting this year with 98 hits, 52 runs and 44 RBI heading into game two. On Wednesday, Segura had one hit. 

Over on the Yankees’ side, they’re rolling with ace Luis Severino on Thursday. Across his 99.0 innings and 10-2 mark this season, Severino has a 2.09 ERA with 118 Ks and 25 BBs. 

Coming into Wednesday’s action, the Yankees’ top hitter was Aaron Judge with 70 hits, 49 runs, 18 homers and 47 RBI. In game two, Judge had three hits and an RBI. 

The Mariners are 4-0 in Paxton’s last four starts with five days’ rest and 6-1 in his last seven road starts. Seattle is also 1-6 in Paxton’s last seven Thursday starts and 5-1 in his last six starts. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees are 4-1 in their last five Thursday games and 10-3 in their last 13 in game three of a series. New York is also 22-5 in Severino’s last 27 home starts and 4-1 in his last five Thursday starts. 

After a lengthy string of good starts, Paxton struggled against Boston with five earned on six hits in 2.1 innings. As for Severino, he’s been the best thing about the Yanks’ pitching staff this year and has given up just three earned on 12 hits across his last three starts in 21.0 innings. The Yankees are probably still the smarter play here, but you wouldn’t be nuts for grabbing Seattle on a value play.

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