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New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - 7/4/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (49-34) at New York Yankees (54-28)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 1:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

J Teheran (6-5) (4.21) vs. C Sabathia (5-3) (3.02)

The Line: New York Yankees -175 / Atlanta Braves +160 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Southeast, YES

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees meet in the rubber match of their three game set from Yankee Stadium in MLB action on Wednesday. 

The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back and win the series after dropping game two on Tuesday by a final score of 8-5. All of Atlanta’s damage on the scoreboard came via the home run as Ender Inciarte and Nick Markakis each went 2 for 4 with a two run home run while Ozzie Albies added two hits as well with a solo homer. Freddie Freeman, Kurt Suzuki, Ronald Acuna Jr., Johan Camargo and Dansby Swanson each chipped in a base hit as well in the loss. Sean Newcomb ended up with the loss, falling to 8-3 this season after giving up five runs on three hits over just 3.1 innings of work. Julio Teheran will start game three and is 6-5 with a 4.21 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his career, Teheran is 0-1 with a 16.62 ERA and 4 strikeouts against the Yankees.

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New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - 7/4/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will look to take the series after evening the set up at one win apiece following their victory on Tuesday. Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Hicks and Kyle Higashioka each had a home run and two RBIs, while Brandon Drury added an RBI as well in the win. Aaron Judge went 2 for 4 while Brett Gardner and Miguel Andujar each had a double to round out the Yankees’ offense in the winning effort. Domingo German gave up three runs on six hits while striking out six over 4.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. A.J. Cole got the win to improve to 3-1 while Aroldis Chapman struck out a pair in the 9th for his 24th save of the year. CC Sabathia will start game three and is 5-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sabathia is 3-1 with a 3.31 ERA and 32 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 9-2 in Teheran’s last 11 starts against a team with a winning record and 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games against a team with a winning record while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games against the AL East. New York is 20-6 in Sabathia’s last 26 home starts and 51-16 in their last 67 home games while the under is 11-1 in their last 12 interleague games. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams in New York.

The plus money with the Braves is tempting, considering that the Braves are capable of hanging with the Yankees offensively. However, Teheran has been a mixed bag of results, alternating shutouts with blow-up starts. Considering his last start was a shutout and his horrendous ERA against the Yankees, albeit in one start, I’m expecting the pattern to continue and for Teheran to get roughed up in this one.

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