Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 7/7/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Marlins (36-54) at Washington Nationals (44-43)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 7, 2018 at 7:15 pm (Nationals Park)
W Chen (2-5) (5.55) vs. M Scherzer (10-5) (2.16)
The Line: Washington Nationals -335 / Miami Marlins +295 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
The Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB action at Nationals Park.
The Miami Marlins look for a bounce back victory after splitting their last eight games. The Marlins have allowed 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 13 games. The Miami Marlins have lost six straight games when allowing more than two runs. Offensively, Starlin Castro leads the Marlins with 104 hits and 32 RBI while Brian Anderson and Derek Dietrich have combined for 185 hits and 74 RBI. Wei-Yin Chen gets the ball, and he is 2-5 with a 5.55 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Chen is 1-5 with a 4.15 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his career against the Nationals.
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The Washington Nationals also need a win after losing eight of their last 11 games. The Nationals have scored 17 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in eight of their last 11 games. The Washington Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games when scoring four or less runs. Trea Turner leads the Nationals with 99 hits and 37 RBI while Anthony Rendon and Michael Taylor have combined for 139 hits and 61 RBI. Max Scherzer gets the ball, and he is 10-5 with a 2.16 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 8-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 106 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 4-13 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series, 2-6 in Chens last 8 road starts and 0-4 in Chens last 4 starts vs. National League East. The Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games, 16-6 in Scherzers last 22 home starts and 46-20 in Scherzers last 66 starts. The Marlins are 16-43 in the last 59 meetings in Washington, 7-20 in the last 27 meetings and the Nationals are 6-2 in Scherzers last 8 starts vs. Marlins.
I'm not getting anywhere close to that line, as the Washington Nationals haven't earned the respect of being at this price, but I'm also not the guy that bets against aces just to bet against them. Chen has actually been rather solid lately, which includes allowing just two runs and striking out 10 guys in his last 12 innings. I'm going to side with the under here, as both clubs have had issues scoring recently and both pitchers have been in decent form. Give me the under in order to avoid the insane price.