Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox - 7/8/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Chicago White Sox (30-58) at Houston Astros (59-31)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 8, 2018 at 2:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)
Lucas Giolito (5-7) (6.93) vs. D Keuchel (5-8) (4.12)
The Line: Houston Astros -320 / Chicago White Sox +290 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: NBC-Chicago, ATT-SW
The Chicago White Sox and the Houston Astros meet in the finale of their four game set from Minute Maid Park in MLB action on Sunday.
The Chicago White Sox will look to avoid the sweep after dropping the first three games of the series including a 12-6 loss in game three on Saturday. Omar Narvaez led the White Sox by going 2 for 4 with a double and three RBIs, while Avisail Garcia added a home run and two RBIs. Matt Davidson added an RBI of his own to round out Chicago’s scoring in the loss, while Yoan Moncada went 2 for 5. Yolmer Sanchez chipped in a double as well to cap off Chicago’s offense in the losing effort. James Shields took the loss, falling to 3-10 this season after giving up eight runs on ten hits while striking out nine over 5.2 innings of work. Lucas Giolito will start game four and is 5-7 with a 6.93 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. In his career, Giolito is 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA and 4 strikeouts against Houston.
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The Houston Astros will look to finish off the sweep after their rout on Saturday. Yuli Gurriel led the ‘Stros by going 2 for 4 with a home run and four RBIs. Alex Bregman and Max Stassi each went 3 for 5 with a double and two RBIs, with Bregman hitting a home run as well. Josh Reddick Evan Gattis, Kyle Tucker and Marwin Gonzalez each added an RBI with Gattis and Gonzalez each adding a two-bagger. Jose Altuve went 2 for 4 with a double and George Springer added a base knock as well as all nine Astros had at least one hit in the win. Charlie Morton got the win to improve to 11-2 this season despite allowing five runs on five hits while striking out eight over 5.2 innings of work. Dallas Keuchel will start the finale and is 5-8 with a 4.12 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. In his career, Keuchel is 3-4 with a 3.81 ERA and 45 strikeouts against the White Sox.
Chicago is 2-8 in Giolito’s last 10 starts against a team with a winning record and 24-57 in their last 81 road games while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games against the AL West. Houston is 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts and 38-16 in their last 54 games overall while the over is 9-3 in their last 12 games against the AL Central. Chicago is 0-6 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
There’s no denying that Keuchel isn’t the same ace style pitcher that we are used to seeing and you could argue that he isn’t worth laying this kind of juice. However, there’s simply no backing Giolito as he has allowed four or more runs in five of his last seven starts, and the Astros have completely trashed Giolito in his two starts against them, putting up 11 earned runs in just 8.2 innings of work. Keuchel is at least winning games and has the offense behind him to give the White Sox issues, so to negate the heavy juice, I’ll back Houston on the run line for the sweep on Sunday.