Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 7/12/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks (51-41) at Colorado Rockies (46-45)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 3:10 pm (Coors Field)
Robbie Ray (3-1) (5.23) vs. Kyle Freeland (8-6) (3.18)
The Line: Colorado Rockies -115 / Arizona Diamondbacks -103 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies meet in the rubber match of their three game NL West division set in MLB action from Coors Field on Thursday.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to bounce back after losing game two on Wednesday in a 19-2 rout. Paul Goldschmidt put up a solo home run while David Peralta added an RBI as well in the losing effort. Jake Lamb went 2 for 4 at the dish, while A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso each added a base hit as well in the losing effort. Shelby Miller took the loss, falling to 0-3 this season after allowing five runs on four hits in just a single inning of work. Robbie Ray will start game three and is 3-1 with a 5.23 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ray is 3-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 65 strikeouts against Colorado.
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The Colorado Rockies will look to win the set after evening up the series in convincing fashion on Wednesday. Carlos Gonzalez led the Rockies with six RBIs, going 2 for 5 with a pair of home runs. Ian Desmond came right behind with five RBIs, going 3 for 5 with a home run. Charlie Blackmon also went yards with three RBIs, while starting pitcher German Marquez cranked out a long ball with two RBIs and Nolan Arenado added two RBIs as well. DJ LeMahieu went 3 for 5 with a pair of doubles while Trevor Story went 2 for 4 with a two-bagger of his own. Tony Wolter added a triple and Raimel Tapia chipped in a base knock of his own to round out Colorado’s offense in the win. Marquez got the win to improve to 8-8 this season after allowing both runs on five hits while striking out eight over six innings of work. Kyle Freeland will start the finale and is 8-6 with a 3.18 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. In his career, Freeland is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Arizona.
Arizona is 13-3 in their last 16 road games and 16-5 in Ray’s last 21 road starts while the over is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Colorado is 5-1 in Freeland’s last 6 home starts and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Arizona is 2-5 in Ray’s last 7 starts against Colorado.
I think it’s pretty safe to say that Colorado won’t tee off on Ray like they did Miller on Wednesday, but the fact is that the D-Backs bullpen is pretty depleted, and Ray hasn’t gone more than six innings in any of his three starts since coming off of the DL and has allowed 10 runs in 9.1 innings in his last two starts. Freeland has given up two runs or less in each of his last five starts, and is 5-2 with an ERA just under three at home this season. Given how Wednesday went and that these early games tend to favour the home team, that’s where I will lean and back Colorado for the series victory here.