Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/23/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals (50-49) at Cincinnati Reds (43-56)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 23, 2018 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Daniel Poncedeleon (0-0) (0.00) vs. Luis Castillo (5-8) (5.49)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -130 / St. Louis Cardinals +120 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSMW, FSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action at
The St. Louis Cardinals could use a victory here after losing six of their last nine games. The Cardinals have scored 10 runs in their last three games and six or more runs in four of their last eight games. The St. Louis Cardinals have won eight of their last 10 games when scoring more than two runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Cardinals with 98 hits and 51 RBI while Jose Martinez and Matt Carpenter have combined for 189 hits and 109 RBI. Daniel Poncedeleon will make his major league debut when he takes the mound tonight. Poncedeleon was 34-16 with a 2.65 ERA and 389 strikeouts in his minor league career.
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The Cincinnati Reds could use a win here after losing five of their last seven games. The Reds have allowed 27 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 11 of their last 14 games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost eight of their last 11 games when allowing more than two runs. Scooter Gennett leads the Reds with 115 hits and 63 RBI while Jose Peraza and Joey Votto have combined for 211 hits and 85 RBI. Luis Castillo gets the ball, and he is 5-8 with a 5.49 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Castillo is 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals.
The Cardinals are 11-5 in their last 16 Monday games, 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record and 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Reds are 11-5 in their last 16 home games, 5-1 in Castillos last 6 home starts and 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts. The Cardinals are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Cincinnati, 17-4 in the last 21 meetings and the over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
I usually don't pick teams playing a pitcher who is making his major league debut, as you have no idea what to expect. Poncedeleon should be emotional for his big league start given that he's lucky to even be here after taking a ball off the head last year that needed emergency brain surgery. But with that said, we're getting the better team with plsu money, which is tough to pass up regardless of the situaton. The Reds compete hard, but they're on the losing end more times than not. I'll back the Cards based on being the better team and giving me more bang for my buck.