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New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres - 7/23/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Padres (41-60) at New York Mets (40-56)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 23, 2018 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Eric Lauer (5-6) (4.87) vs. Z Wheeler (3-6) (4.44)

The Line: New York Mets -140 / San Diego Padres +120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-San Diego, SNY

The San Diego Padres and the New York Mets meet in the opener of a three game set from Citi Field on Monday.

The San Diego Padres will look to bounce back after dropping the rubber match of their three game set against Philadelphia by a final score of 5-0 on Sunday. Jose Pirela and A.J. Ellis each had a single as the Padres mustered up just two hits as a team in the losing effort, with the rest of the San Diego roster batting 0 for 23 with 6 strikeouts in the loss. Luis Perdomo took the loss, falling to 1-5 this season after giving up three runs on five hits while striking out five over 6.1 innings of work. Eric Lauer will start the opener and is 5-6 with a 4.87 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. This will be Lauer’s first career start against the Mets.

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New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres - 7/23/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets come into this one rested after having their finale in the Subway Series with the Yankees on Sunday night postponed due to inclement weather. The Mets had to settle for a series split with the Yankees after a 7-6 loss in game two on Saturday. Michael Conforto cranked out a solo homer, while Amed Rosario went 2 for 4 at the dish with an RBI of his own. Brandon Nimmo and Jose Reyes each had an RBI as well with each going 0 for 3 at the plate, while Wilmer Flores added a base hit as well to cap off the Mets’ offense as the Mets mustered up just five hits as a team in the loss. Steven Matz fell to 4-8 this season after giving up five runs on nine hits while striking out three over five innings of work in taking the loss. Jacob deGrom will start the opener and is 5-4 with a 1.68 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. In his career, deGrom is 3-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 35 strikeouts against San Diego.

San Diego is 4-9 in Lauer’s last 13 starts and 6-22 in their last 28 games overall while the over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 series opening matchups. New York is 7-21 in their last 28 home games and 0-6 in their last 6 games against the NL West while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 series opening matchups. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

This line came out when Zack Wheeler was the scheduled starter, and I’m expecting the juice to get heavier with deGrom having his start pushed to Monday. However, I’m still going with the Mets here. New York has struggled mightily since their hot start to the season, but deGrom is still one of the best pitchers in the game right now and while there aren’t many situations where I’d lay juice with the Mets, this is one of those rare times when I do. I just have no faith in the Padres, and while I don’t have much more in the Mets, I still like what I’ve seen from deGrom.

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