Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins - 7/28/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Minnesota Twins (48-53) at Boston Red Sox (71-33)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 28, 2018 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
J Odorizzi (4-6) (4.37) vs. R Porcello (12-4) (3.93)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -205 / Minnesota Twins +190 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: NESN, FSN
Headed our way from Fenway Park on Saturday, the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox will be picking up their MLB series once again.
The Twins managed a 2-1 victory in the Thursday opener, then on Friday the Sox returned the favor with a 4-3 comeback win in 10 innings.
Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports
For the Saturday game, Minnesota will be bringing out RHP Jake Odorizzi. In his 107.0 innings and 4-6 mark this year, Odorizzi has a 4.37 ERA with 113 Ks and 46 BBs.
Eddie Rosario leads the Twins in hitting this year, and he came into game two with 125 hits, 69 runs, 19 homers and 62 RBI. On Friday, Rosario had two hits and two RBI.
As for the Sox, they’re going with Rick Porcello on Saturday. Across 126.0 innings and a 12-4 record this year, Porcello has a 3.93 ERA with 121 Ks and 32 BBs.
JD Martinez has the lead on the other Red Sox hitters, entering Friday on 120 hits, 74 runs, 31 homers and 85 RBI. In game two, Martinez logged one hit.
The Twins are 1-4 in their last five Saturday games and 2-5 in Odorizzi’s last seven starts with five days’ rest. The over is 5-1 in Minnesota’s last six Saturday games and 4-1 in their last five in game three of a series.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 Saturday games and 38-13 in their last 51 in game three of a series. Boston is 4-0 in Porcello’s last four Saturday starts and 5-1 in his last six starts.
Aside from the one stumble he had against Tampa (five earned in 4.1 innings), Odorizzi has done well in four of his last five starts with just three earned over 22.0 innings. As for Porcello, he coughed up eight earned in 2.0 innings versus the Jays, but then blanked Baltimore in 6.0 innings his last time out. This game might end up being a close one; I’m taking the Twins as a value pick.